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This is my reading as well. This escalation is happening in parallel with negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza & along Lebanon's border. If those issues are not settled, we may see a devastating war for Lebanon & more damage than Israel is used to.
"A large-scale confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah is likely to break out in the next several weeks. The U.S. offers a slightly more conservative assessment than those coming from parts of Europe. Some European countries calculate that a war between Israel and Hezbollah could happen in days."
US intel indicates war between Israel and Hezbollah inching closerwww.politico.com The State Department urged U.S. citizens Thursday to “strongly reconsider” travel to Lebanon.
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"US Intel" knows exactly what's been going on since October and they don't actually give two shits about it. It feels more and more that articles like this are just alerts to prep everyone for more months of horror. It's like the horror shot. Get ready, because it's gonna get worse than it was.