Mark Blumenthal

@mysterypollster.bsky.social

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Pollster. Husband. Father. Cyclist. Currently: YouGov (contractor). Formerly: SurveyMonkey, HuffPost, Pollster.com Contact me: https://linktr.ee/markblumenthal

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Mark Blumenthal

Impressed by how many “In this house we believe science is real”-folks now reject all of polling.

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Mark Blumenthal

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: 60% of Americans say Biden is not fit for another term as president after disastrous debate — yet 2024 contest with Trump remains too close to call. www.yahoo.com/news/new-yah...

New Yahoo News/YouGov post-debate poll shows within MoE declines for Biden among RV since early June: - 2-way matchup: Trump 45, Biden 43; was Biden 46, Trump 42 - multi-candidate: Trump 44, Biden 40, RFK Jr 4; was Trump 43, Biden 42,RFK Jr 4 www.yahoo.com/news/new-yah...

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: 60% of Americans say Biden is not fit for another term as president after disastrous debate — yet 2024 contest with Trump remains too close to callwww.yahoo.com Before the debate, slightly more Americans said Trump’s criminal charges were a bigger problem than Biden’s age. But now those numbers have flipped.

I wrote a new thing! A brief history lesson on why we should be very cautious about hypothetical questions testing reactions to a potential Trump conviction. Also, a deeper dive into what such questions on recent Yahoo News/YouGov polls tell us about attitudes now. today.yougov.com/politics/art...

Feeling very proud and appreciative that @gelliottmorris.bsky.social incorporated a Transparency Score, based on my research presented at AAPOR 2023, into FiveThirtyEight's newly updated Pollster Ratings (abcnews.go.com/538/best-pol...), out today:

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Mark Blumenthal

Polls were again consistent with election results across states & contests (even closer than normal). Election results were also consistent with Biden's poor national polls: exit polls & ticket splitting showed Trump crossover voting & polls show Biden better with less sporadic voters

Pollster friends: Anyone know a call center that IDs itself as “Hudson Surveys” based in NYC?

The new @yahoonews.bsky.social / YouGov poll finds Ron DeSantis' support among potential GOP primary voters falling from his previous low of 23% in mid-July to just 12% today news.yahoo.com/poll-desanti...

My #PMC2013 is now complete! I rode the usual 186 miles over two days of near perfect weather and exceeded my fundraising goal, with $20,104 donated as of this writing. THANK YOU!

5:10 am. One last #PMC2023 checklist item: Poppa on board! Now we ride. I'm just $486 from my $20k goal. Honored to have help blast past it https://pmc.org/MB0437 #PMC2023 gives 100% of your donations to the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute.

I’m in Sturbridge, MA where at 5:30 am tomorrow I’ll start #PMC2023 — my 13th PMC ride. I ride 186 miles in 2 days to honor the memory of my father-in-law and my daughter's best friend. More details here: https://pmc.org/MB0437 Hoping to post more tomorrow as time and internet connections allow

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: "among 2020 Trump voters, 62% say that racism against Black Americans is a problem today - while 73% say that racism against white Americans is a problem" https://news.yahoo.com/poll-trump-voters-racism-white-americans-problem-black-reparations-politics-090038973.html

Most Americans say Joe Biden and Donald Trump — their parties’ undisputed 2024 frontrunners — are not “fit” to serve another term as president - more from the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll https://news.yahoo.com/poll-most-americans-say-biden-and-trump-are-not-fit-to-serve-as-president-133443536.html

Poll: Most Americans say Biden and Trump are not 'fit' to serve as presidentnews.yahoo.com A full 55% of Americans say Joe Biden is not worthy of the presidency, and a statistically identical 53% say the same of Donald Trump.

New Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that a growing number of Americans say climate change has "made things worse" in their lives https://news.yahoo.com/poll-amid-heat-wave-more-americans-say-climate-change-has-made-things-worse-in-their-lives-090004703.html

Hello, (new) world!

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