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I don't think there's much more to glean about the race until the conventions. Because this is a rematch and because both candidates are unpopular, people seem more tuned out than at any time since the turn of the millennium. We see this in cratering political media ratings.
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there are two major upcoming events before then- debate, Trump sentencing- that I think could matter
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also I sort of don’t think anyone’s going to watch the RNC or, probably, the DNC unless things go off the rails
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Could be a lot of spectacle at the RNC unless Lara Trump has taken all the money.