ManhattanJuryAppreciator: That's true. But it's also a reminder that public opinion and politics don't sit still for as long as anyone would like.

Meanwhile in France, polling models that take account of the dropouts post-first round suggest a completely different result than the as many as 300 RN seats that were predicted after the first round. Huge. *FRANCE'S LE PEN GROUP WOULD GET 190-220 SEATS: BFM CITES HARRIS

that son of a bitch Macron might win this insane gamble after all

Macron is exceptional at freezing French politics in place. A crappy place, but the man plays defense well.

part of this is structural, real Mitterrand hours

That's true. But it's also a reminder that public opinion and politics don't sit still for as long as anyone would like.

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