Project 2025 is trying to make being trans pornography per se to get around 1A so sure the law is one thing but some Trump appointee is going to YOLO it anyway and get affirmed by the 5th.
The hilarious thing would be for Dem appointees to just start issuing pre-emptive injunctions forbidding Kacsmaryk to do stuff. Like, the day a useful Biden EO is issued there's also an injunction from some rando circuit judge forbidding Kacsmaryk to even hear a case related to it.
the power of the state is not in the gun. it's in the finger on the trigger--and it's not in the finger either, it's in the heart and mind of the person behind it. that is the battle we must be prepared to fight and win.