Wildly extrapolating from Swindon South: better than projected by the exit poll, so thus far, all the results pointing to a bit better than the exit poll, a bit worse than the average of the MRPs for Labour. Vice versa for Reform.
Kind of makes you wonder if Reform are going to manage to remain a coherent entity long enough to be a factor in the next local elections in a few years
I think the nightmare result in many ways is 'Tories 90, Reform one' but Farage is the one, or two with Lee Anderson and/or Tice. Anymore and they will be a rabble.