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There's good reason to question whether Biden is up to the job, and if not, he shouldn't be president, let alone running for more. But otherwise? Dem certainty that he'll lose is nuts. With a bunch more polls in, 538 has him down by 2.3 pct points after a disaster week. That's bupkis!
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Not to mention the crosstabs still tend to have him winning with the most engaged voters (people who voted in 2020, voters 65+) meanwhile Trump's strength is low engagement voters and he has virtually no GOTV apparatus.