Jonathan Bernstein

@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social

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Good Politics/Bad Politics - Subscribe! Also I root for the Giants. The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2024.

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Jonathan Bernstein

What kind of illiberal lunacy is this? www.theguardian.com/politics/art... Think of who you don't want in power. Now imagine them enforcing this law. A society without misinformation is inherently unfree (and impossible).

Welsh government commits to making lying in politics illegalwww.theguardian.com Labour administration says ‘globally pioneering’ legislation will be brought in before next Senedd elections in 2026

If Trump knows nothing about Project 2025 he's way more out of it than Biden. (Trump is lying but he is, in fact, way more out of it than Biden, who may be in fact be too out of it to be president).

The ramped-up hits on Project 2025 must be landing — Trump just shoved it right in front of the bus

This is an excellent question, and the answer so far is "it depends." See this nice @smotus.bsky.social piece on it. smotus.substack.com/p/is-a-party... To add one observation...

Hey, poli scientists. If Dems succeed in (1) self-organizing to remove successful, all-but-nominated incumbent and (2) coalescing around veep, isn’t that evidence of an effective, resilient party? It’s only been week since debate horror supplanted SOTU impressions. @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social

This is very good.

The Supreme Court’s immunity decision sidesteps history. Those who framed the Constitution agreed that unchecked presidential power was a terrible idea. Read the latest from @rudalev.bsky.social here: goodauthority.org/news/immunit...

The Supreme Court’s immunity decision sidesteps historygoodauthority.org Immunity for Donald Trump and future presidents does the Constitution, the country, and even the Supreme Court itself no favors.

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Jonathan Bernstein

😳

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Jonathan Bernstein

It is good and normal for Joe Biden to sleep like an 81-year old, and he's a better president 6 hours a day than Trump was for the 17 minutes a day that he paid attention to anything and the other 12 hours that he was awake doing stupid crap. But still, "needs more sleep" is a disastrous message.

My 4th listening turns out to have been mostly old stuff: Louis Armstrong Los Lobos Aretha The Breeders P!nk Digital Underground Violent Femmes The Go-Go's Ramones Janelle Monáe Bob Dylan Ella

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Jonathan Bernstein

Independence Day seems an appropriate occasion to ponder presidential immunity on @goodauth.bsky.social … goodauthority.org/news/immunit...

The thing that really does have me concerned about Biden is that we're a week out and he hasn't done or even scheduled three or four things like this. A year ago he was clearly capable of doing such things.

Biden should go on Hot Ones, tbh. idk if it'd help him. I just think he should do it.

Someone with skills needed to put FDR into that picture.

IMO this is a straight-up ageist and ableist image, no?

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Jonathan Bernstein

m.youtube.com/watch?v=_ZTY...

YouTubem.youtube.com Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

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Martin Schneider

Another possibility:

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Jonathan Bernstein

The Declaration episode of HBO's "John Adams." www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7o5...

John Adams - Writing the Declaration of Independence (with subs)www.youtube.com YouTube video by Doxa

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Network, the true Bicentennial favorite

Howard Beale in Network 1976 I'm as mad as hellyoutu.be Howard Beale's (Peter Finch) famous "mad as hell" call-out in Network.

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Jonathan Bernstein

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Jonathan Bernstein

1776, Hamilton, and ID4.

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Jonathan Bernstein

We’re watching Jaws when we get home tonight.

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Jonathan Bernstein

Jaws, obviously. Always good to watch the Great McGinty, too. A history movie, like Blazing Saddles? An immigration saga, like Night at the Opera? I also feel like a movie about how awful the hereditary aristocracy is would be appropriate, so maybe the 1937 Prince and the Pauper with Errol Flynn?

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Jonathan Bernstein

Celebrate the 4th with a few Federalist Papers/immunity decision thoughts from yours truly. @3streamsblog.bsky.social medium.com/3streams/wha...

What the court got wrong this weekmedium.com How the Supreme Court’s Immunity Decision Ignores Madisonian Logic to Anoint an Imperial Presidency

I see Turner is showing The Music Man today, which is excellent...What else is on y'all's viewing list for the 4th? The Godfather? Do the Right Thing? Kane? American Graffiti? Bill & Ted? That DS9 scene where Quark and Garak talk about root beer?

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Jonathan Bernstein

As a constitutional scholar, I am well aware of the serious headwinds and challenges facing the US on the nation's birthday. It will be bad, whatever happens in the Fall elections. But I also know enough US history that resistance is not futile and we have many historical models of it.

My item for the 4th. Enjoy the day! goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/happy-4th

Happy 4thgoodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com Here's to a political holiday for a political nation.

I can never tell if I get the balance right between patriotism and cliche in my 4th of July items but I'm glad that this year it falls on my turn to write and now I just have to figure out whether it's overkill to add an extraneous footnote about The Omega Glory.

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Jonathan Bernstein

COORDINATION is indeed the big reason—and probably the most important PoliSci concept that’s hardest for laypeople to grasp. Deciding which of several plausible candidates to run would take time and energy that the party does not have and generate bitterness that the party can’t afford.

Can't speak for others, but: If there are differences in how they would do, don't think we can guess at them. So why Harris? 1. Better vetted than any other candidate = least likely to be a disaster. 2. By far the easiest way to coordinate on the nomination and thus avoiding intraparty disaster.

Honest question: Do political scientists who propose a Harris nomination do so based on principles, or are there data I am unaware of that suggest she is the Democrat with the highest chance of winning against Trump? #polisci #polisky #USelections #USpolitics

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I don’t want to generalize too much but the place I see the most hope right now is from those that have been fighting the hardest for the longest time. Extended doomerism can be a luxury not afforded to those who have the most to lose.

There's good reason to question whether Biden is up to the job, and if not, he shouldn't be president, let alone running for more. But otherwise? Dem certainty that he'll lose is nuts. With a bunch more polls in, 538 has him down by 2.3 pct points after a disaster week. That's bupkis!

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Jonathan Bernstein

I know that Heritage is a boogeyman right now, somewhat deserved. But as someone who has read more of their work product than pretty much anyone: this is not a well-oiled machine of an organization in 2024. They are less capable than ever at actually pulling off something like this.

I sure hope all the Dems calling for Biden to step aside have gamed out the fuckery that the Heritage Foundation is planning www.notus.org/2024-electio...

Excellent @dbernstein.bsky.social item today at GP/BP continuing his interview series on ethnic politics in 2024. This one on Latino politics. Really good stuff. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/latinos-in...

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Jonathan Bernstein

Asked an historian of England, who agreed. SCOTUS rejected an historical tradition that goes back to 1689, and gave the president protections which George III did *not* have, which Washington did not want, and which anyone & everyone who had any role in writing the constitution opposed.

England's 1689 Bill of Rights a) established that the law restricted English kings & that kings' unfettered power threatened the polity; and b) formed the background for all colonial resistance to British rule from 1765 on. "Originalists" apparently reject this 334 y.o. legacy.