Quick update on how hurricanes (tropical cyclones) are affected by climate change. Hurricanes that form will be:
1) more intense
2) bring more rain
3) bring higher storm surge
The only real uncertainty is how climate change will affect the *number* of these storms. There is significant uncertainty in both the magnitude and sign of the change, but most of the evidence suggests fewer tropical cyclones.
Is location also up in the air?
I'd speculate that the band they form/hit would widen except that I'm also expecting AMOC to end* which might move it Southwards and the Gulf of Mexico geography is probably relevant (big shallow** area).
* wild guesses as to when
** comparatively
