NEW Survation MRP: Labour on Course to Win 484 seats.
The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition.
Probabilistic seat count:
LAB 484
CON 64
LD 61
SNP 10
RFM 7
PC 3
GRN 3
34,558 interviews conducted online and on the telephone
Professor Paula Surridge of Bristol Uni says you should take this one seriously as all the modelling has been done by Chris Hanratty who did all the constituency-level breakdowns after the referendum.
I'm trying not to let myself get too excited at the possibility that the Lib Dems might come 2nd, and joy of joys, the Tories down to just one question at PMQs if they came third?
Imagine how civilised and productive it could be without that lot lying and braying from the opposition benches.
