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I don't think there's much more to glean about the race until the conventions. Because this is a rematch and because both candidates are unpopular, people seem more tuned out than at any time since the turn of the millennium. We see this in cratering political media ratings.
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there are two major upcoming events before then- debate, Trump sentencing- that I think could matter
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reeeeaaaally looking forward to that sentencing
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Call me a dreamer, but I keep imagining a 3 month sentence, no delays, report right to processing. Outside of poorly recorded telephone interviews (that he had to call collect) we’re spared 3 months of Trump & he’ll probably leave Rikers in early October having aged a few years in there