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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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4 days
looks like a big miss for the seat predictions in the UK, interested to see if it's going to be a polling miss or a modeling miss (or maybe just exit polls are wrong!)
Survation MRP: Labour 99% Certain To Win More Seats Than in 1997 | Survation
www.survation.com
With two days until polls open, Survation predict that Labour will win the 2024 general election with 484 out of a total 650 seats. The...
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Flying Mezerkis
@bananapantz.bsky.social
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4 days
Who’s got the best view atm?
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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4 days
I got it from George but the BBC etc have coverage I assume
George Pearkes
@peark.es
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4 days
*UK LABOUR PROJECTED TO WIN 410 SEATS OUT OF 650: EXIT POLL
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Flying Mezerkis
@bananapantz.bsky.social
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4 days
Following NYT atm I thought 130 was higher than some of the biggest fears? Is that right?
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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4 days
Yeah, the prediction I linked to at the top was Lab 480 Con 65, so much worse than the exit polls
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