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no they haven’t
Since Dobbs, polls have consistently existed in a different reality than actual elections. This cannot be disregarded.
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“Nuh-uh”, he said, wisely.
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This sounds like good news for the Census Bureau. Anyway, how’s that red wave? Still on its way?
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Should you tell him or should I? (Poll-focused models always showed a tighter race, the “red wave” narrative was because pundits couldn’t believe the polls were true).