Post

Avatar
Aren’t the same people freaking out about Biden the ones perfectly happy to weekend-at-Bernie’s Feinstein — or play along with that — as long as they could? This is a genuine question; I don’t know.
Avatar
Her seat was CA, where in the first round she got 44.2% to the highest R candidate (who came in third) getting 8.3% tho.
Avatar
Which is perhaps to say, the freakout is also highly driven by how close the race is
Avatar
Oh yes, definitely. Eh. I’m not freaking out about Biden; I am freaking out about the press, the pundits, the donors, and especially the campaign. This seems to me to be the You Have One Job of a campaign and that they can’t manage it scares me. It’s not a surprise!
Avatar
Right. And folks can (and plainly do) have lots of opinions on what to do now, but the overriding concern here, and in the D party apparatus isn't "will Biden be ok in the Oval Office" but "is his campaign going to get him there" and if not, can we fix it, and can someone else fix it, in that order
Avatar
Yeah. I’m mostly just noting the hypocrisy. Which — I am well aware doesn’t really matter! But I like to try to understand the processes.
Avatar
I didn’t much like Biden and never liked the primary system. I thought he was too old in 2020! But the time to fix it was before the primaries. I don’t have the impression that he’s changed much, only the world, both in very predictable ways.
Avatar
I think it's safe to say whatever solution they come up with, this past week has been a big mess, and it could have been handled a lot better
Avatar
Yes! Thanks for answering btw. I’m trying not to freak out too much. As a risk analyst…that’s not easy. It’s just own goal after own goal…
Avatar
I think the thing for me is there's still 4 months left. That's not a giant amount of time, but it's also plenty if they really did light the fight in the campaign
Avatar
The problem is this is just a really hard election to properly model; in some profound ways it's not like any election up to 2016, and has some very important differences to 2016 or 2020 too in lots of important directions. Which isn't great for anxiety. But it does mean it's still all to play for.
Avatar
the abortion stuff is a huge wildcard. it has driven huge voter turnout in local races and it is on a ton a ballots. So it could easily skew the hell out of results. And who knows if that would also have an impact in house/senate races.
Avatar
Given it’s such a central issue, I’m not sure “skew” is the right word. It rightly and justly can affect the results a lot! I wish the Dems would run on it more!