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Companies decided to sink billions of dollars of new investment into manufacturing plants in the U.S. after the CHIPS and Inflation Reduction Act boosted incentives for U.S. production, Check out that spike in manufacturing plant construction. It dwarfs all prior increases. πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ #️⃣#️⃣
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Why is the Biden administration talking tough on Wall Street, buybacks, dividends, etc and while puking subsidies on chip companies doing exactly that?
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They are offering incentives for companies to invest in U.S. manufacturing & it's working. You try to make it sound bad by calling it "puking" but a lot of Americans share this goal & will welcome these new developments.
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I wonder if that spike rivals the investment of post WWII-1960 period. Is it possible to extend the x-axis?
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Good question but not with this data series.
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Can't get back to the 1950s with data I'm familiar with, but Census Construction Spending extends to 1964. Here's 1964Q1-2024Q1 in 2023 dollars. Quarterly values are the sum of NSA monthly values. Data - Table 3: www.census.gov/construction... Monthly, NSA Total: www.census.gov/construction...
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Actually - complete brain fart there. The BEA Fixed Asset data goes back decades earlier. One moment...
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Okay, 1901-2022, Private Fixed Investment in Manufacturing Structures. BEA Fixed Assets Accounts, Table 2.7, line 48. Deflated with a splice of the CPI and Index of the General Price Level.
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Yeah quarterly real to 1947, annual real to 1929 🀝🀝
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As someone who forecasts for a living it’s nice to see the experts get it so so wrong
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Predicting is hard, especially the future!
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Great stuff. I wish I could know how much of this money is being invested into semiconductor chips, and whether the move to chip independence is accelerating (or it will still take 10-20 years like Huang said).
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I work in the semiconductor industry: hundreds of billions are being spent on chip production, specifically on US manufacturing plants. I’m not sure how you define chip independence, but Intel is hoping to catch up with TSMC in something like 5 years.
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There never was a free market. Sovereign influence cannot be Milton Friedman’d out of existence.
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SK Hynix was government funded by South Korea, Japan has always invested heavily in chip plants from government money. Only part of the reason for offshoring has been for cheaper labor. A good portion is because offshore semiconductor factories got better subsidies from the host country.
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Dear NYT & WaPo. Here is factual data that should be headline screaming. WaPo & NYT: Yeah it could be, but nah.
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"Free" money does not create a surge in private U.S. manufacturing. Public incentives that require private investments do.
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Most of the manufacturing jobs are going to red states. Cause you know Biden ain’t Jared
Rapist Fraudster promises to kill this off.