Ariel Edwards-Levy

@aedwardslevy.bsky.social

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Polling editor at CNN, keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. I like puns.

Posts Replies Media Lists

this is a subtweet

this has nothing to do with anything but have I mentioned my conviction that Dua Lipa's "Dont Start Now" is secretly about an Elf On The Shelf

Gallup, 1947, asked of those who said they could be happier (70%): "How could you be happier?"

GSS, 1996, asked of those who said they ever felt like they were going to have a nervous breakdown (26%): "What did you do about it (the nervous breakdown you felt you were going to have)?"

Reply to

Ariel Edwards-Levy

A few voters laying out the most important difference they see between the candidates, in their own words: www.cnn.com/2024/07/04/p...

Reply to

Philip Bump

oh good, I still have this saved

if the other half of AAPOR members aren't getting a version of this email WITHOUT these phrases, I am disappointed in you all

this lacks face validity

finalizing my new LV model

This is such a great survey question (and yes, this is something ironic about having two binary response categories, but nevertheless)

Just remembered that Pew Research very kindly makes their older datasets available...look at the education and ideology splits on this!

Not every day you see this little of a partisan gap on something related to both Biden and immigration (reflects, of course, both unusually low Dem support and low GOP opposition) www.monmouth.edu/polling-inst...

i get two kinds of emails in my spam folder

Reply to

Ariel Edwards-Levy

please say it's not the weird clown

why does this feel like the setup to an updog variant

This is a niche survey design tweet, not a public opinion tweet, but the CBS/YouGov and ABC/Ipsos results are a really interesting look at the effect of explicit DK options on online surveys. (Neither option is wrong, both tell us something different!)

Reply to

Jeremiah🏳️‍🌈

aren't you supposed to wear shoes feet down

hope whoever finds this question in the @ropercenter.bsky.social archives 50 years from now enjoys it

Fun with unexpectedly partisan trends, vol. 39823948234 "In each year of the trend except 2013, Republicans have been significantly more likely than Democrats to say gold is the best investment....the gap...has widened significantly since 2020." news.gallup.com/poll/645107/...

new trap question battery just dropped

is this the session on panel conditioning

bring back the carrier pigeons

MY QUESTION NEMESIS (via @mattgraham.bsky.social et al)

leave me alone

can someone who's more familiar with market research than I am tell me if actually this scale makes sense because right now I feel like I am staring into a five-point abyss

can't wait for the avant garde grammar-themed met gala

Reply to

Adam Bonin

it's an open-ended question, so these are characterizations of respondents' answers

the @ropercenter.bsky.social archives have seven poll questions containing the word "parasite" and the seventh is, inevitably, a jumpscare