I am happy imagining the relief and excitement you all are going to feel when this thing you are digging your heels in against so hard finally happens. We are about to get a chance to try something new, with courage and confidence. You’re terrified of it now. When it happens you will be exhilarated.
Oh, I thought it was like ninety percent certain he would be the day or so after the debate. But the sheer volume of the freakout has made me revise down much closer to a coin flip.
My gut still says it's him.
The alternative is unprecedented, and if you're making predictions you NEVER bet on the unprecedented thing happening. Sometimes it does! You just don't expect it.