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This piece is maddeningly sparse on specifics, when it's easy to think of viable hypotheticals Example: ➡️ Find just 1 person in any Fifth Circuit state claiming they voted for Biden ➡️ File suit claiming Ds nominating anyone who was not the primary winner violates the Guarantee Clause 1/
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Historically, Guarantee Clause claims – the portion of the Constitution guaranteeing to states "a republican form of government" – have been thrown out as non-justifiable political questions And yet... 2/
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That history of tossing Guarantee Clause claims is already not absolute See, e.g., New York v United States, 505 US 144, 185 (1992): "More recently, the Court has suggested that perhaps not all claims under the Guarantee Clause present nonjusticiable political questions" 3/
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Is there any real doubt Judge Kacsmaryk would grant an injunction blocking a switch, no matter how poorly reasoned? Any real doubt the Fifth Circus would affirm, no matter how poorly reasoned? Now you have to wait on SCOTUS 4/
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The whole thing would take weeks at bare minimum, likely months, with a limited window of time before ballots need to be finalized and printed for mailing to servicemembers TL;DR: this is a very real threat, and has nothing to do with the law 5/5
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The problem with every clever strategy is that the enemy gets a vote.
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bsky.app/profile/jeff...
“Elections are sacred. But.” - the opening sentence of Alito’s decision to vacate any Democrat candidate for the 2024 election issued on November 6th
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With this court, you'd get a 5-4 ruling that it means the Democratic party is unconstitutional
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Or now they just mean "the federal government will makes sure each state is run by Republicans" 😎
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The Constitution has nothing to say about political parties or how their candidates are chosen, though.
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Fed soc judges don’t care what the constitution says
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You know who made it difficult to replace Biden? The Democrats. Because if they wanted to do it they should have done it 6 months ago.
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Who is this “they”? Democratic primary voters? Because they overwhelmingly voted for Biden.
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No, I mean the party apparatus. If they wanted an alternative to Biden they would have needed to get them out there well before the primaries. To be clear, I’m not saying they SHOULD have done that. Biden is their best candidate. I’m just saying that they don’t need Republicans “forcing” them.
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The “party apparatus” doesn’t determine who runs. Individual potential candidates make that decision.
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I think that’s true ideally, but in reality, without the support of the party, that’s pretty difficult.
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We didn't really have a choice. He chose to run so it wasn't an open field primary, like it should have been.
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Nothing stopped you from voting for Marianne Williamson or Dean Phillips.
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Who cares who did it? Blame won't unbreak a window.