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I don't think there's much more to glean about the race until the conventions. Because this is a rematch and because both candidates are unpopular, people seem more tuned out than at any time since the turn of the millennium. We see this in cratering political media ratings.
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there are two major upcoming events before then- debate, Trump sentencing- that I think could matter
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have my doubts about the debate making much difference UNLESS someone has a complete breakdown in a way that the camera captures
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everyone on both sides is going to claim the other guy had such a breakdown
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It will be very difficult to hide if Trump's brain is actually as cooked as I think it is. Biden may mangle a couple of words but can speak an extemporaneous complete sentence.
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i feel like the trump team will try to keep him on a dozen scripted answers and he could well manage it
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Might depend a lot on the moderator
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Politico says, "Jake Tapper and Dana Bash will moderate the first 2024 presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump next month." One of those two people will do a really good job.
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Maybe. I think Jake Tapper will, I can see him actually helping trigger Trump a little bit, even if accidental, because of how Trump feels about him. I just don't have any idea how Dana Bash is as a moderator.
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I hear about Tapper snapping at GOP congressbeings lately, what's up with Dana Bash?
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Apparently more than 8 years ago, she was a solid journalist. That doesn't mean she would be a good moderator but it beats having someone like Kilmeade wapo.st/3KJzQyq That's a gift link.
Dana Bash: A well-regarded and low-key debate moderator who would prefer not to be the storywapo.st Don't expect the woman on-stage Wednesday night to be the next Megyn Kelly.