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As is typical, the Times posits that 2020 nonvoters are gonna make all the difference here and I think that's the wrong thesis of this election. I'll find out in November though.
Trump favored among people who could've voted in 2020 but didn't for some reason.
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Wait, is it controlling for "2020 voter eligible?" I just figured this whole phenomenon was a broad declaration that everyone who graduated high school via Microsoft Teams came out a low social trust moron, which is not entirely implausible.