Post

Avatar
JUST IN: Polls closed in first round of France elections. Two main French TV estimates (combines early results & exit poll) show strong far-right. Far-right bloc: ≈34% Left bloc: ≈28-29% Macron bloc: ≈20-22% What does this mean? What'll happen? Follow this thread ⬇️
Avatar
Both estimates project that far-right will dominate the upcoming National Assembly — falling short so far of absolute majority, but not unattainable next week. Left bloc projected 2nd. Macron's bloc, to collapse < 100 seats. NOTE: This is projections of what'd happen NEXT WEEK.
Avatar
BIG TAKEAWAY: Far-right (RN) ahead, but can it win enough runoffs to win next week? In most places there'll be *3-way runoffs* instead of 2-way runoffs. If no one drops out, it'll greatly help RN. Macronists often 3rd, so all eyes on them right now. Will they drop out when so?
Avatar
What’s the criterion for a 3 way runoff versus a 2 way runoff?