You can quibble with these numbers but it is objectively funny to compare the meltdown among pundits and "insiders" etc to an effort at representative sampling. Two completely different universes.
I dunno ... Biden is a smidge behind in an average of the polls, but an immediate drop of 2 points of lead in a sample that had him ahead looks bad to me. Plus these things often gather momentum.
Get your point, and agree he's not out yet, but I suspect their reaction will be as much what leads to Biden losing votes as debate itself.. kinda reminds me of the Hilary emails thing, ppl who didn't really follow either will just get sense that they're not the person for it.
Hope I'm wrong ofc
Look, George, they had these pre-writes and the first fifteen looked like it was a Biden Old kinda day so like, push that out the editor and call it a night y'know
If Biden's voters parked themselves in 3rd party options instead of Trump, they'll be back.
And asking the same people is good; avoids differential response bias which I expect will show up in other polling as Democrats go into hiding.