it's almost like "people who watch the debate in full and talk about it on twitter and bluesky" are not really a very meaningful sample of the electorate
"how could anyone possibly not know who they're going to vote for between these two guys at this point"
jimmy down at 7-11 saw a campaign poster once while high who he thinks vaguely might have been one of the candidates but honestly he can't remember which one so he might flip a coin
I still question all these polls. I mean, who the heck is answering these pollster’s phone calls, whose numbers are not automatically blocked because it’s coming from an unknown caller?
they weren’t historically off in 2022, so I’m reluctant to just ignore them, but it does feel like the bottom is gonna fall out at some point
all the reputable polling folks who talk about response rate have noted the extent to which it continues to crater
Trying to explain to my friends that are freaking out over last night that:
-Debates historically have a negligible impact on swaying elections
-And if someone is an undecided voter at this point, they're probably not the type of person to watch the debates anyway
The real power behind the debates are the sound bites. I'm hoping beyond all hope that the Dems are smart enough to blast "I killed Roe v Wade" on repeat, from now til the election
The people who will decide the election were not watching this debate or the post-debate panels. But they will see those ads and hear Trump being Trump again. That's not going to change the polls next week, but it will matter.
Nothing is guaranteed so we all need to do the work. 2/2
Are you trying to tell me that the opinions of people that actually bought tickets and brought friends to see Jello Biafra speak his truth in 1998 aren’t real Americans? Well I won’t stand… now I’m embarrassed.
also his performance was objectively awful. It might be that nobody gives a shit in the end, and he wins, but that’s also a bit grim (but much better than the alternative).
Exactly, anyone whose mind was changed by the debate will change their mind roughly eight thousand more times before November and will decide based on what Applebee’s has on special the night before
I dont think thats the case, its just name recognition and the typical can i just have an imaginary someone else that normies tend to say and news entertainers glom onto with fantasies of contested conventions.
I was told it was the worst performance of all time and Biden had to perform seppuku and every democrat in the house had to resign in shame while chanting "e'agh e'agh"
