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Everything we’ve seen suggests the exit poll is underestimating the scale of Labour and Liberal Democrat gains and electoral efficiency, and overestimating Reform and the Conservatives.
UK general election live: Labour takes early seats, with a strong showing from Reform UKFinancial Timeswww.ft.com
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Naively because I should be long in my bed - the flaw in the exit poll at elections like this by measuring the delta from particular polling booths at each election is that you’re assuming implicitly a fairly constant national swing? Greater regionalisation of votes might cause it to fail?
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How did exit polling in Scotland do in 2015?
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They need more of their pollsters in the LD targets!
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This means I can't go to bed, doesn't it
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Not when there's a chance of a Rees-Mogg defenestration
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Please please please! It was a coin toss on the exit poll, so if Lab/LD doing better... 🙏
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Worth staying up a bit longer then.