I am willing to believe that Trump is winning this election
I am not willing to believe Trump is going to manage Reagan’s electoral map or anything close to it
The district Boebert left had their primary and pretty safely chose the non-Trump conservative. Even the conservative parts of the state aren't HUGE Trump fans.
cruz vs alred in TX seems to be following same old pattern but damn if the R's don't seem to be actually sweating this a bit. 2020 numbers outside urban centers def got under their skin.