Folks, I spent today jumping into weeds of the French election in this thread—you can read it below!—but I'm sure I lost many of you who want the 'big picture'.
Let's do a quick AMA for 10-15 minutes: ask me what you want to know!
JUST IN: Polls closed in first round of France elections. Two main French TV estimates (combines early results & exit poll) show strong far-right.
Far-right bloc: ≈34%
Left bloc: ≈28-29%
Macron bloc: ≈20-22%
What does this mean? What'll happen? Follow this thread ⬇️
Can you explain a bit the background of the seat projections for round 2? Ig there are really so many democratic alliances forming against RN and if they are just at 33% today; why would they be able to end up with 250+ seats in the run-offs?
Or to be more specific: Do you think after tonight it‘s more likely than before that other parties (3rd or even below) make the reasonable choice to drop out in order to unite behind the non-RN candidate?
I think that the Left has made it as iron-clad rule as it could. And that Macronists are more clearly anti-RN tonight than at any point over the last 3 weeks, though I think everything they said for 3 weeks can't be erased in just a few days
