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either everything we have ever learned about presidential campaigns is wrong and trump is headed to victory, or he isn’t
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The Nates have rated the above statement as a fifty/fifty shot
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lol. i mean, i’m no fuckin’ nostradamus, but, like, same as it was in march, same as it was in january, same as it was all through 2023, trump’s campaign fundamentals look bad, bad, bad, and either those are gonna matter, or nothing does
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Because I'm busy trying to manage The Fear*, what fundamentals are you thinking of? *which yes, I know is best solved through work, I do Tech For Campaigns regularly.
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they outsourced outreach and mobilization to charlie kirk, RNC has very few field offices in any state, their ad buys are both anemic and late, state parties are in complete disorder, trump’s rallies are way below attendance from even 2020 and the RNC purged the few experienced pros they had
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One thing that gets forgotten anytime the field ops are mentioned, though, is how entirely MAGA has captured the Evangelical Church. There are a lot of volunteers there, in every community, and they are often hearing at least once a month about the need to elect Trump. Can't underestimate that.