lol. i mean, i’m no fuckin’ nostradamus, but, like, same as it was in march, same as it was in january, same as it was all through 2023, trump’s campaign fundamentals look bad, bad, bad, and either those are gonna matter, or nothing does
can i once again register a complaint about how i, shitposter, have to learn this stuff because no one who covers politics and elections for a living gives a shit about doing their jobs
And yet no one is harassing this man to get up in front of audiences and stop hiding.
One candidate has some very concerning sign of decline and it’s not Biden.
I heard someone on msnbc a few weeks ago that said maga makes up about 14% of the voting electorate. A lot of the people in MO just follow like sheep. We're about a 60/40 state split between both parties.
Because I'm busy trying to manage The Fear*, what fundamentals are you thinking of?
*which yes, I know is best solved through work, I do Tech For Campaigns regularly.
they outsourced outreach and mobilization to charlie kirk, RNC has very few field offices in any state, their ad buys are both anemic and late, state parties are in complete disorder, trump’s rallies are way below attendance from even 2020 and the RNC purged the few experienced pros they had
Much appreciated, thank you. I also do appreciate that Trump's campaign is siphoning campaign funds for legal fees, better that than putting them to use. Any other things you're keeping in mind about the race?
This all feels like it should be a BLOWOUT to a Biden win...
But alot if this 'Replace Biden' talk feels so manufactured and out of the blue.
I wonder if it's because outside of the Debate, most people aren't paying attention to the election yet?
Yeah, a lot was made of Trump getting a huge influx of cash after his conviction but if he isn't spending it then that's another factor against him. Also, that influx included one $50M donation from some RW weirdo, and his per-person pledges are down. The only area where he seems ahead is polling.
One thing that gets forgotten anytime the field ops are mentioned, though, is how entirely MAGA has captured the Evangelical Church. There are a lot of volunteers there, in every community, and they are often hearing at least once a month about the need to elect Trump. Can't underestimate that.
You see, focusing on fundamentals is boring & stupid. Fundamentals are Web 1.0. Ford Crown Victoria. What you need to beat Trump is a reality show that will entertain reporters more than Trump. That's the Tesla that wins this election
At this point I would answer a polling call just to see how much my one response swings black voter support, but in the decades that I've been a voter I've never been called.
We're watching their industry collapse in real time but they definitely can't acknowledge that, they're too important to the rest of the media who rely on their numbers to keep the horse race interesting.
I’m in a less competitive state and it’s so much more quiet here. I can understand how people outside the 7 States That Will Decide think both campaigns are doing nothing
