Justin Fox

@byjustinfox.bsky.social

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Columnist @opinion.bsky.social

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Dug into this further and I mean, wow. Data is through 6/16 of each year. SF is on pace for record low violent crime of all types except for assault; motor vehicle theft the only outlier, but even that is down 18% YoY.

Oh just checking in on out-of-control crime in San Francisco

Americans are moving less. Everybody knows that. But the decline in interstate mobility ended a while ago. It's local moves that keep getting rarer www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

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Column from @byjustinfox.bsky.social cites research from the Upjohn Institute finding that independent contractors make up around 15 percent of the workforce, about twice as much as previous estimates. #EconSky

How Many Gig Workers Are There? Depends on How You Askwww.bloomberg.com Recent research shows that the monthly Current Population Survey may be undercounting a lot of nontraditional employment.

What the SW border numbers look like if you factor in estimates of how many people got past the Border Patrol. (New outside-the-paywall column) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Payroll employment change since Feb. 2020, in NYC and some other places www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Old people just don't want to work anymore www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

How about this chart? It's in a new column on the changing economics of birth rates (gift link) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

We just did our annual @opinion.bsky.social Biden metrics piece in advance of SOTU, and I'm proud to announce that I was once again in charge of MURDER www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...

Yes, some famous rich people left, but California's share of the nation's millionaires (taxpayers with adjusted gross income of $1 million or more) went *up* from tax year 2019 to tax year 2021 (New column with gift link) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

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Median Street Tree diameter vs Median Household Income for New York City’s NTA-level neighborhoods. The relationship is strongest in the Bronx; in Manhattan you have rich tree-lined UES and UWS neighborhoods, but also wealthy mid- and lower-Manhattan neighborhoods where planting isn’t possible.

How New York's income tax receipts are holding up relative to the feds'. The state raised taxes for top earners in 2021; the pass-through entity tax is an alternative to the personal income tax for partnerships and S-corporations looking to avoid the SALT cap www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

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Reply to

Your Internet Friend Tom Tomorrow

This is when I boast that I not only have a Cold War-era rotary phone from Ukraine on my desk but that my house has an internal phone system so my kids can call each others’ rooms.

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On the eve of the 2nd anniversary of Putin blowing a fuse, my latest/first for @heatmap.news, on how The Ukraine War Blew Up the World’s Energy Economy, and why the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act is surprisingly well-designed to deal with the fallout. Hint: fossilflation heatmap.news/economy/ukra...

The Ukraine War Blew Up the World’s Energy Economyheatmap.news And the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act is surprisingly well-designed to deal with the fallout.

Life this year at Harvard (technically satire, but ...) www.thecrimson.com/column/a-sch...

New column on the relative rattiness of US cities, with gift link so everybody can read it www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

The Reasons US Cities Are Grittier Than Foreign Oneswww.bloomberg.com Tucker Carlson is the latest in a long line of commentators to point out that overseas cities often outshine those in America. He’s not entirely wrong.

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Rather insane thing that happened: someone emailed me asking for a link to my TedX talk, which they remembered but could no longer find. When I wrote back to say I had never done a TedX talk, they replied with an extensive summary of this non-existent talk, generated by ChatGPT, offered as proof.

A very large salmon-colored chart (of 2023 violent crime in major US cities) for BlueSky www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

New Occupational Requirements Survey just dropped www.bls.gov/news.release...

Big news in the world of Christmas-poem authorship attribution! New column by me (although @[email protected] did most of the work) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Case (Almost) Closed on Who Wrote ‘The Night Before Christmas’www.bloomberg.com A new textual analysis should put to rest a long-running debate about whether Clement Clarke Moore was truly the poem’s author.

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this is my lesbian aunt barbra after we told her there's no more riesling in the fridge on thanksgiving

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A corollary: Nearly every person who is against congestion pricing. Whatever they say their reasons are, it all boils down to "How dare you charge me for something I'm used to getting for free?"

Every post opposing traffic cameras boils down to "they work too well at catching motorists breaking the law"

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Sorry what

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have I written a whole article about how the law protects press institutions’ freedom at the expense of their workers and the public, yes I have, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4354014

Many publications have misguided policies that restrict the civic participation of their journalists on the spurious logic that such actions would jeopardize the publication’s reputation & veneer of neutrality—outcomes that are always more frequently & efficiently achieved by publishing hot garbage.

The Ideology of Press Freedompapers.ssrn.com This Article offers a critical account of the law of press freedom. American law and political culture laud the press as an institution that plays a vital role

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It’s a little known punk fact that the Clash also fought international law, but no one could work out who won due to a lack of reliable multilateral enforcement mechanisms, so everyone just argued about it based on their subjective normative analysis. It was an unincorporated b-side.

You: “I’ve been under the weather for a few weeks.” Eilardus Westerlo, pastor of the Dutch Reformed Church in Albany:

I have joined the Traffic Stops Discourse www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

The Decline in Police Traffic Stops Is Killing Peoplewww.bloomberg.com Adding more speed cameras would probably reduce the death toll, but they remain unpopular in the US. Something’s got to give.

The strange decline of bike commuting www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

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Highly endorse this - it’s been a wonderful history of labor econ and industrial relations. And amazing snippets. Solow and his wife Barbara Lewis met in an undergrad class on Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy taught by Schumpeter and Sweezy. What a time…

Been enjoying this podcast series by Orley Ashenfelter. It's old school but a lot of interesting history of labor economics. 📉📈 irs100.princeton.edu/podcasts

Podcasts | Princeton Industrial Relations Section Centennialirs100.princeton.edu The Work Goes On: An Oral History of Industrial Relations and Labor Economics with Princeton’s Orley Ashenfelter

See if your neighborhood has made the list! (Of Public Use Microdata Areas with the highest WFH share in 2022) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...