Guy Grossman

@guygrossman.bsky.social

1974

Posts

Political science professor at UPenn, studying migration and forced displacement, human trafficking, and poor governance. Co-director of the Penn Development Research Initiative (PDRI-DevLab). Website: https://guygrossman.com

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Saddened to hear about the passing of Nicolas Van de Walle. Nic was one of most esteemed and accomplished African politics scholars. His legacy is enormous, and he will be greatly missed.

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Guy Grossman

How I wish that Americans would learn something from the French with regards to how you hold your nose and keep fascism at bay, even if it means that your ideal (imaginary) candidate doesn’t win and you don’t get every progressive item on your agenda. But I guess it can’t happen here.

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Guy Grossman

Every day Biden remains in denial is another day lost for the Harris campaign.

Pollsters are getting ~1% response rate and then readjusting results based on turnout expectations that might have been right for 2020 but almost certainly wrong for 2024. Biden ain't gonna get 81m, and Trump sure ain't gonna get 74m votes in Nov, but Biden's supporters are more reliable voters.

This is the greatest danger to Netanyahu's ability to maintain his coalition. It's hard to imagine the Knesset passing a law that exempts ultra-orthodox Jews from military service during a war, and it's hard to see the UO parties remain in the gov if it instructs the IDF to recruit Yeshiva boys.

Breaking News: Israel’s Supreme Court ruled the military must draft ultra-Orthodox Jews, a decision that could split Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition government.

Middle East Crisis: Israel’s Supreme Court Says Ultra-Orthodox Jews Must Be Drafted Into Militarywww.nytimes.com The justices said there was no legal basis for the longstanding exemption from military service. The decision threatens to shake Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition government.

Stephanie Zonszein and my paper "Voted in, standing out: Public response to immigrants' political accession" is out for early view at AJPS. We use close elections RDD in the UK to explore how dominant-group natives react to immigrants' political integration. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Libraryonlinelibrary.wiley.com How do dominant-group natives react to immigrants' political integration? We argue that ethnic minority immigrants winning political office makes natives feel threatened, triggering animosity. We tes....

I have been named "David M. Knott Professor of Global Politics and International Relations," which is admittedly sweet even though I don't really study IR.

Are you a graduate student studying the controversies, dilemmas, and promises of a democratic society? Consider applying to present at the Annual Graduate Workshop organized by Penn's Andrea Mitchell Center for the Study of Democracy. See docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Andrea Mitchell Center Graduate Workshop Series 2024-2025docs.google.com Call for Papers The Andrea Mitchell Center for the Study of Democracy at the University of Pennsylvania invites paper proposals for its Annual Graduate Workshop Series. We welcome submissions by docto...

The inaugural meeting of a new Forced Displacement Working Group is happening today at the Biden Center in DC. The agenda is available at pdri-devlab.upenn.edu/forced-displ.... Ping me or PDRI-DevLab's Simranjeet Dhir if you want to join our working group.

Forced Displacement Working Group Agenda – PDRI – DevLabpdri-devlab.upenn.edu

micalraz.bsky.social and my op-ed is now published in the English version of Haaretz [I apologize it's behind paywall; ping us if you are interested in a copy]. www.haaretz.com/opinion/2024...

Mical Raz and I published an op-ed in Haaretz (in Hebrew) today explaining why Israel should pay close attention to the message the student-led protest movement is conveying. Since it's behind a paywall, feel free to ping me if you want a copy. www.haaretz.co.il/opinions/202...

דעה | ישראל בסכנה, ולא מהקמפוסים בארה"בwww.haaretz.co.il הארץ

micalraz.bsky.socialmicalraz.bsky.social

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Guy Grossman

I hope this article gets translated into the English version of Haaretz. It perfectly reflects the experience I had with the CU Denver student protests.

דעה | ישראל בסכנה, ולא מהקמפוסים בארה"בwww.haaretz.co.il הארץ

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Guy Grossman

It would have been easy for some of you to say “I support an end to the war in Gaza and a free Palestinian state, but some of the the things people are saying at rallies I attend are hateful bigotry that calls for violence against Jews including my students and neighbors, and I don’t support that.”

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Guy Grossman

The childcare reimbursement form for @APSAtweets 2024 conference in Philly is now open! It is due by August 2nd. It covers $500 of expenses, which can include a Philly based provider OR travel costs for a non-guardian caregiver connect.apsanet.org/apsa2024/chi...

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Guy Grossman

I'm hiring two Research Assistants based at busara.global in Nairobi! We will work on a number of exciting topics in development and behavioral economics. This two-year position is good preparation for a PhD in Economics. Details here: www.povertyactionlab.org/careers/rese... Please RT and apply!

Research Specialist with Johannes Haushofer, Nairobi – Busara Center for Behavioral Economicswww.povertyactionlab.org

My pet peeve: If you conduct a survey experiment in which you provide respondents with information on some gov program, you are NOT assessing the effect of the program, but instead you assess the effect of your messaging about the program, at best.

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Guy Grossman

Seen several such posts that seem to ignore that fact that Iran has been attacking Israel through its proxies for the past 6 months. The (stupid and extreme) Israeli attack in Damascus targeted one of the main Iranian commanders in charge of these proxy attacks... 1/2

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Guy Grossman

A general point about Netanyahu’s current political (mis)fortunes: he’s at a point where any decision, no matter how good or bad for others, is costly for him. His entire strategy is predicated on skirting actual decisions so any pressure that forces him to decide hastens his political demise.

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Guy Grossman

🚨Postdoc Opportunity, Please share!🚨 LeticiaBode, Lisa Singh, and I are seeking a postdoc to work with us at @MassiveData_GU on our project on GenAI, Misinformation, and Social Media. Full-time research, no teaching required. Please reach out! apply.interfolio.com/143997

Miguel Rueda, Shuning Ge, and I have a new draft of our working paper entitled "Do More Disaggregated Electoral Results Deter Aggregation Fraud?" We present a new dataset of the level at which countries report electoral return and show it's implication for aggregation fraud. osf.io/preprints/os...

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Guy Grossman

Amazon has a limited time deal of $13.80 for the paperback version of "Making the Supreme Court: The Politics of Supreme Court Appointments, 1930-2020." www.amazon.com/Making-Supre...

Ramadan Mubarak to all those who observe.

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Guy Grossman

History's deadliest air raid hit Tokyo on March 10, 1945. We study the long-run effects of this destruction on neighborhood communities in this forthcoming article at @thejop.bsky.social: Gated: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... Gift (50, for those w/o access): urldefense.com/v3/__https:/...

Good read from the Economist, summarizing the debates on the usefulness and ethics of RCTs in International development. www.economist.com/1843/2024/03...

#Polisky Please consider submitting your proposal to the Political Economy of Climate Change and the Environment (PECE) APSA 2024 Mini-Conference, which will be held at UPenn on Sept 4th. Deadline: March 1. More details at web.sas.upenn.edu/pece2024/

Going after IVF is bad policy, bad politics, and an alarming government overreach. It's also cruel.

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Guy Grossman

Please share: MoPED call for papers 🛵 We host a workshop on the political economy of development in Berlin each summer Great group, good papers, no presentations, intense and constructive discussions: details here wzb.eu/de/node/81172 apply by 11 March

MoPED Workshopwzb.eu Berlin Meeting on the Political Economy of Development (MoPED) -- The MoPED workshop offers an opportunity for scholars who focus on the political economy of development, broadly defined, to build...

polisky

Katrina, Shuning, Apoorva, Benjamin, and I have a new draft of our paper entitled "The Effects of Cellphone Coverage Expansion on Wealth and Political Behavior". You can find an ungated draft at osf.io/y94d5. As always, comments are welcome!

I highly recommend reading John Vaillant's Fire Weather. A well-researched account of the 2016 mega fire that destroyed a town in Alberta Canada. www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/554938...