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I'm constantly marveling at Trump's luck as a politician. He only won in 2016 because he ran against one of the Democrats' weakest candidates. In 2024 he ends up running against someone even weaker.
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He lost the popular vote by almost 3 million after the FBI Director interfered in the election at the last moment. He got a massive assist and won on a technicality.
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I would argue a lot of this is luck!
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People aren't discussing the luck part of your statement, I don't think. Only the weak part.