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At 11 am, after a contempt hearing that went horribly for Former President Trump but before Justice Merchan ruled, FPOTUS posted this on Truth Social. We'll see how Justice Merchan responds. At this point, I cannot imagine an appeals court in NY reversing any sanction Justice Merchan imposes.
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He seems to be trying to get himself jailed.
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He seems to think that being jailed will actually free him, in the sense that his followers will be outraged and demand justice. Based on the non-existent crowds at his trial, even after he called for an assembly, I'm not so sure being jailed will work out the way he wants.
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What are the range of consequences you might expect Justice Merchan to impose? Bigger gag order? Fine? Any possibility of jail time?
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Any of the above is possible. I have not practiced in front of Justice Merchan, so I do not have an informed opinion about what he is likely to do.
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Double secret probation
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the only way to stop a bully is to enforce a hard boundary. even if justice merchan isn't comfortable jailing him now, i liked the idea of a fine + a deferred sentence, i.e. if there's another violation he goes to jail immediately.
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Put him in jail for an hour
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...and here I sit, waiting for the resolution of a dental surgery and unable to eat popcorn.
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"How to Win Friends and Influence People" by Donald Trump.