Mr. Nick Beaudrot: I guess "they're both old but Trump is nuts" is possible.

I don't think there's much more to glean about the race until the conventions. Because this is a rematch and because both candidates are unpopular, people seem more tuned out than at any time since the turn of the millennium. We see this in cratering political media ratings.

there are two major upcoming events before then- debate, Trump sentencing- that I think could matter

have my doubts about the debate making much difference UNLESS someone has a complete breakdown in a way that the camera captures

everyone on both sides is going to claim the other guy had such a breakdown

I think there are two possibilities - one is "Biden coherent, Trump not", the other is "two old men yelling". SOTU and some sit downs are reasons to believe it'll be door #1; the TIME interview is a reason to believe door #2.

I guess "they're both old but Trump is nuts" is possible.

Post