/5 …but it’s obvious that my statement can be introduced as evidence if I’m accused of murder.
Contrast this type of Presidential immunity. Say Donald Trump, days into his second term, meets with the Department of Justice and demands a way to deport all Muslims, reviling them as subhuman.
/4 More powerful, to a trial lawyer, is the prohibition on the use of immune acts as evidence. In almost every other context (save Speech & Debate), you can use things as evidence when you can’t prosecute for them. If I say “this man must die,” that’s usually protected by the First Amendment ….
There are two elements to the immunity decision that are particularly extreme in a way that many will miss: (1) motive is irrelevant and (2) immune acts are not just excluded from prosecution, they’re excluded from evidence.
/1
If like 1 in every 1000 low turnout voters is answering polls because they're angry, but the turnout will be the same, it's all junk.
There's also someone about old white Dems filing up the quota first, so everybody else gets skewed the other way.
My doctor: It's actually amazing he has survived Posting Disease for over 50 years.
Me: A sesame seed bun should be made entirely of sesame seeds
My doctor: If there's anything you want to say, do it now
My grandchildren: Goodbye. We love you
Me: Air conditioner where is air shampoo
The media market is very fractured, to "know" how the debate plays among dropoff and swing voters, you have to see what's happening in a lot of places.
And that their brokered convention scenario is an Aaron Sorkin-esque fantasy because most of them are unwilling to get behind Harris. (And since most of them are unwilling to get behind Harris *now*, they're signaling they can't be relied on to boost her if she is the nominee.)
Both the “black jobs” remark and using palestinian as a slur are hopefully clarifying as to actual Trump’s ideology and worldview, in contrast with the imaginary trump some people have built up in their heads as the memory of his administration has receded
it feels like the whiteness of big political media spaces right now is having a big effect on how people are thinking about the debate. eg I have seen relatively little discussion of trump's "black jobs" comment, which immediately exploded on black twitter
Reducing Trump's terrible debate performance to "he lied a lot" misses a bunch of important stuff. It was as much - or more - of an incompetent disqualifying performance than Biden's.
One of the funny things with pundits being alarmed about Biden being old and not making decisions is that it implicitly suggests that when Trump was president he was looking over dossiers and intelligence briefings and not just watching old episodes of Baywatch
swing voters and undecided voters basically by definition think about and engage with politics differently than anyone on this site, anyone who writes for the ny times, and the vast majority of the times’ subscribers. otherwise they wouldn’t be undecided/swing voters.
it's an extraordinary claim. Biden is solidly within MoE of a win *right now in the polls* and there are good reasons to think that the snapshot polls are structurally underestimating Biden relative to where he'd be if we were voting.
I thought this pattern wouldn't apply because both candidates are so unusual. But this actually does in some ways fit the long pattern of incumbent presidents appearing unready in their first gen election debate: Reagan in 84, Bush in 92, Bush in 04, Obama in 12.
A lot of normie Dems are pretty checked out on politics right now but will vote for Biden in November because of Trump/Democracy/abortion.
Theoretically weighting on recalled Trump vote should account for that but that's my "positive Biden intangible".
Two things can be true, we are on a precipice as a nation where we shouldn’t be and you shouldn’t use the app for people with severe anxiety to follow the debate
nothing annoys me more than the notion of an "expectations game." there is no rule that says journalists must evaluate political events on the basis of expectations set by party apparatchiks. edition.cnn.com/2024/06/26/p...
nothing annoys me more than the notion of an "expectations game." there is no rule that says journalists must evaluate political events on the basis of expectations set by party apparatchiks. edition.cnn.com/2024/06/26/p...
