alright as foretold, the update. @matthewhitt.bsky.social and i got *another* wave of our SCD panel study back. ive posted this paper before, but we've added a third study to it, showing how "fatalism" lays at core of loss of legitimacy. thread incoming.
osf.io/preprints/ps...
Supreme Court legitimacy is so far in the tank right now that it’s crystallizing into a form of fatalism. And we have the data to show it — will post tomorrow. It’s a real doozy.
preliminarily: no change in democrats' diffuse support. supreme court legitimacy is in the proverbial shitter, folks. but, somewhat ironically, even *republicans* are now low key like maybe this thing is off the rails, too.
the big update, here, though, is the introduction in study three of a measure of supreme court "fatalism"...drawing on clinical and social psychology, we attempt to construct a measure of moroseness about the courts outputs. satisfaction measures suck. lets do better measuring specific support.
for a long time, legitimacy theory has argued "see this single item measure of satisfaction or ideological distance is unrelated to diffuse support." but ordinary ppl don't think like this, come'on. instead, this measure of fatalism functions as a summary measure of dissatisfaction.
so, why the loss of legitimacy among democrats? they look at the supreme court and conclude it sucks, its not changing, and they can't do anything about. not great! now, if we can finally just push this dang paper thru the review process.
(cc: @brendannyhan.bsky.social, @mattgrossmann.bsky.social)
