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155 mph in June, Jesus Christ. Thing might be a Cat 5 in a few hours.
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I am think we are gonna have a major crisis in the next month when one of these hits Florida, or the gulf coast.
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I have been trying to warn people that we’re not really prepared for a Cat 5 landfall in Miami or Tampa.
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And it my understanding the Florida insurance market is really fucked and not in a great financial situation.
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People really don’t understand how large these metros are. Millions of people, millions of homes. Billions in the economy. New Orleans was much smaller.
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Well and again, the insurance market is much worse now. Post Katrina, the more at least was insurance. Now… not as much.
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Just checked. Metro Miami is 6200 sq. mi. with an average elevation of 6ft and the highest point of land is 42ft above sea level and a population of 6 million. That's really really bad.
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This storm surge simulator basically suggests everything south of downtown and all the barrier islands would flood with at least 5 feet of water.
www.google.com
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The state insurance provider of last resort isn't solvent. Even on sky high premiums it can only pay out a proportion of any claim.
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I don't think there's enough money. Florida would have to issue bonds first and there's not enough in FEMA's coffers to make a dent.
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Swiss Re did a study where they estimated that if Hurricane Andrew happened again and hit Miami, it would cost in the neighborhood of a quarter trillion dollars. That was in 2017, so that number has gone nowhere but up.
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It’s insane how dense Miami has become. Every year I hope this isn’t the year.
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And the water is so warm everywhere that any tropical storm two days from landfall could potentially hit with 175 mph winds. Like Wilma, from... 2005.
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Yeah, I’m pretty worried about August.
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Cons are gonna deny climate change all the way up until the Port of Houston takes a direct hit from a Cat 5. And even then they’ll still argue against it from underneath a 20 ft storm swell.
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There have only been two North Atlantic hurricanes with winds of 150+ mph before August. Both were in mid-July 2005, which was... a rough year.