What's really disturbing about the debate fiasco is there's no way to be confident that Biden has it in him to pull off the near-flawless execution he'll need to win at this point.
At a minimum, the Bidens owe us a real conversation about that.
My take:
newrepublic.com/article/1832...
it's an extraordinary claim. Biden is solidly within MoE of a win *right now in the polls* and there are good reasons to think that the snapshot polls are structurally underestimating Biden relative to where he'd be if we were voting.
i genuinely think a dog with biden’s war chest could beat trump and not a particularly kind dog either. i really don’t get where the idea comes from that he’s some unassailable opponent that only a perfect campaign can defeat
I also don't get where the idea comes from that Biden should step aside and therefore deprive the Democrats of incumbency advantage, which is one of the major things he has going for him
The latest salvo from the Trump campaign that “they would prefer to face Biden over any other lib” sounds too coordinated and false. They would absolutely love the lib chaos of naming someone else
I think it's close because the 2020 election was kinda close-ish, and this is a rematch. Plus people really don't like inflation, as shown by the troubles of incumbent parties worldwide.
And national totals were close in 2022.... but that's surprisingly better than expected for Dems. And if you still trust polls at all, the national ones are close.