Kelly Hereid

@kellyhereid.bsky.social

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Climate scientist, geologist, and catastrophe modeler, Liberty Mutual. Posts on all things hurricane, wildfire, flood, earthquake, tornado. Sassy takes are my own.

📍Oakland, CA
Website: hereidk.strikingly.com

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Kelly Hereid

This mirrors Vermont which invested in measures after Irene. Flooded last year and flooded again last week. I point this out because these are both inland communities

Toronto invested in defending against flood after Hurricane Hazel in 1954. It invested again after heavy flood losses in 2013. And it's now flooding again.

Since 2013, Toronto has worked to become more flood-resistant, but climate change is outpacing our efforts and the massive flooding occurring today makes it clear: our infrastructure was designed for a planet that no longer exists.

A decade ago, Toronto was underwater. Here's what's changed since the 2013 flood | CBC Newswww.cbc.ca Flooded streets, destroyed basements and a GO Train stuck in so much water that passengers had to be ferried to dry ground in inflatable boats — 10 years after Toronto was pounded by a record-breaking storm, here's what's changed.

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Kelly Hereid

“Human bodies tend to use sleep time to lower temperatures and recover from a brutally hot day; if temperatures don’t drop enough, people sleeping without air conditioning — or, say, people in major cities that didn’t get their power back for a week after a storm — don’t get that chance”

Daytime high temps have risen fast. Nights are worse.

It's the Hot Nights That Will Get Youwww.splinter.com Splinter is your home for news and opinions that challenge power in our political and economic system that's becoming more unhinged each and every day.

Oh dang, new global atmospheric rivers database just dropped #DailyPaper HT @mdettinger.bsky.social

A regionally refined quarter-degree global atmospheric rivers database based on ERA5 - Scientific Datawww.nature.com Scientific Data - A regionally refined quarter-degree global atmospheric rivers database based on ERA5

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Kelly Hereid

Happy to share the final version of our new review paper, which is out in BAMS (#OpenAccess): doi.org/10.1175/BAMS... This community-driven paper explores the utility of #Arctic sea ice prediction through a collection of statistical and dynamical models.

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Kelly Hereid

Evolution of this year's CSU forecast for number of Atlantic tropical storms compared to the prior decade.

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Kelly Hereid

🧪There's a large scale exercise happening this week in St Louis to simulate what would happen in the event of a large earthquake in the New Madrid Seismic Zone. Sounds like a good oppertunity to read about the science of this weird earthquake zone in my latest for Undark. undark.org/2024/07/15/e...

The Enigmatic Earthquake Hotspot in America’s Heartlandundark.org The Central U.S. is at risk for major shaking. But scientists don’t know why — or when — the next big one will strike.

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Kelly Hereid

Some nice copy here …apparently California now has batteries roughly equivalent to 5 Diablo Canyons (in capacity, not run time…)

"No rolling blackouts or grid emergencies as California continues on path to a carbon free grid. Several strategies, including upgrades to vulnerable parts of the grid at play here, but key enabler is more clean energy, especially solar, and above all, battery storage..." 😀

California Grid Breezes Through Heat Wave due to Renewables, Batteriesthinc.blog No rolling blackouts or grid emergencies as California continues on path to a carbon free grid. Several strategies, including upgrades to vulnerable parts of the grid at play here, but key enabler …

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Kelly Hereid

As a warmer, dryer climate triggers #wildfires in places where such peril was once unthinkable, scores more people are faced with the prospect of fending off disaster. Here are @bloomberg.com's practical tips on how to become more wildfire-ready. 🎁link for 7 days www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

As Wildfires Spread, Here’s How to Protect Your Home From Blazeswww.bloomberg.com Replacing roof tiles and hardscaping near exterior walls can help protect against flying embers.

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Kelly Hereid

Despite growth in US energy consumption from 2021 to 2024 YTD, US CO2 emissions have been flat or decreasing. 🧪🔌💡Source US EIA STEO: www.eia.gov/outlooks/ste...

Today's #DailyPaper is a news item about the work IBHS is doing to upgrade wildfire-resistant building standards. As wildfire spreads to new areas, understanding how to build to defend against it is critical. 🎁 By Burning Down Buildings, Insurers Want to Change How They’re Built

By Burning Down Buildings, Insurers Want to Change How They’re Builtwww.nytimes.com Property insurers are trying to force changes in construction standards that they say are necessary to protect against wildfires.

Review of nature-based solutions for hazard risk reduction Tl;Dr Ecosystem services can be cost effective and on par with engineering in the right circumstances. Mostly public funding, although public/private is getting more common. #DailyPaper

On the cost-effectiveness of Nature-based Solutions for reducing disaster riskwww.sciencedirect.com The potential of ecosystem-based interventions, also known as Nature-based Solutions (NbS), for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adapt…

It's not just you - even Darwin had to deal with Reviewer 2 🎁 link ⚒️🧪

Charles Darwin had the Reviewer 2 to end all Reviewer 2s. “one peer reviewer suggested that Darwin drop all the evolution stuff and expand the chapter on raising pigeons. (“Everybody is interested in pigeons,” the reviewer explained.)”

Dogged by Bad Health and Bad Reviews, Darwin Needed Friends Like Thesewww.nytimes.com In a new book, the medical historian Howard Markel homes in on Darwin’s physical and emotional travails — and the colleagues who rallied to his cause.

Remote work has been good for working women, especially with young children or disabilities. But this bit about "who gets the call" hits hard. 🎁 link

“The same work-from-home opportunities that have enabled many moms in particular to enter or rejoin the workforce are also shackling them with fresh responsibilities. Many say they are effectively working two full-time jobs: managing their households and their careers.” www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...

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Kelly Hereid

I was the editor for this. For anyone who hasn't read it, the paper includes "what can we do better" as well as carefully looking at the data that demonstrates that we've got a problem that needs solving.

Grim #DailyPaper shows how much the geosciences have failed to attract first gen students. HT @cychen.bsky.social on the other side The figure on first gen representation in geo vs other physical sciences is particularly rough...

Extreme underrepresentation of first-generation college students in the geosciences: An intersectional issue: Journal of Geoscience Education: Vol 72, No 1www.tandfonline.com We’re here to help

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Kelly Hereid

I still share this every time twenty years later. How did he do this? Where did the guitar go at the end?!

"While My Guitar Gently Weeps" from the 2004 Rock & Roll Hall of Fame induction for George Harrison. Tom Petty, Jeff Lynne and Steve Winwood with Prince stealing the show at the end. What a guitar solo! George's son, Dhani plays guitar and he looks blown away with happiness. youtu.be/dWRCooFKk3c?...

2021 Remaster "While My Guitar Gently Weeps" with Prince, Tom Petty, Jeff Lynne and Steve Winwoodyoutu.be 2021 Remastered Edit: Tom Petty, Jeff Lynne, Steve Winwood, Dhani Harrison & Prince pay tribute to George Harrison at the 2004 Induction Ceremony

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Kelly Hereid

First gen representation in all fields, education, engineering, physical science, and earth science, for undergrad vs doctorate. It's not great.

Extreme underrepresentation of first-generation college students in the geosciences: An intersectional issue: Journal of Geoscience Education: Vol 72, No 1www.tandfonline.com We’re here to help

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Kelly Hereid

Feeling a little chuffed that Nesta used my ‘chart concept’ which shows that a heat pump is the best investment for reducing our carbon footprint from heating. Read www.nesta.org.uk/report/deliv... And carbon savings increase every year as the electricity grid becomes greener. EnergySky

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Kelly Hereid

Climeworks's Orca facility in Iceland, currently the world's largest direct air capture facility, was designed to remove 4000 tonnes of CO₂ per year. In 2023, it removed just 921 tonnes. That's a time machine that takes us back 0.7 seconds in a year. 🥲 climeworks.com/news/...

The reality of deploying direct air capture in the fieldclimeworks.com This article provides an opportunity to look behind the scenes of Climeworks’ field deployment journey

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Kelly Hereid

Wow: “If you grow an acre of corn, it will produce 900 gallons of ethanol, which will get you about 25,000 miles for a Ford F-150...which is, not bad I guess. But let’s say we put solar on that same acre. It will produce enough electricity every year to drive my Lightning 550,000 miles.”

Forty Acres and a Sense of Hopesubstack.com Sunshine on a Cloudy Week

Interesting taxonomy of local adaptation mechanisms, and most notably, a huge gap in planning for heat. #DailyPaper

Progress and gaps in U.S. Adaptation policy at the local levelwww.sciencedirect.com As climate impacts intensify, local governments across the United States are developing ad-hoc policies and plans to increase their resilience to clim…

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Kelly Hereid

Rapidly developing fire in the #Boulder Flatirons just west of town. I saw flames briefly. That’s the #NOAA building in the foreground. Conditions are horrific: temps near 100F, bone-dry west winds, and after the driest May-June on record here.

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Kelly Hereid

Dating these beautiful sediments has helped show us when Thwaites Glacier unpinned and, since it was at the same time as its neighbor, a bit about how it might have retreated. www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....

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Kelly Hereid

"In parts of southern Florida, more than 50 percent [of mangroves] have been destroyed. Yet in northern Florida, on the East Coast, mangroves have doubled in area" www.scientificamerican.com/article/mang...

Mangrove Trees Are on the Move, Taking the Tropics with Themwww.scientificamerican.com As the climate warms, mangroves are migrating farther poleward, transforming the coast as they go

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Kelly Hereid

Big insurers in CA can see climate risk - banks can't. What that might mean for the rest of us ' post today: open.substack.com/pub/susanpcr...

FIRE weather: Big insurance companies can see the risks on their books, but banks can'topen.substack.com Why the insurance crisis in California is really a pockets-of-risky-properties crisis

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Kelly Hereid

Breaking: hackers stole call and text records for "nearly all" AT&T customers. Shows which phone numbers a customer called or texted. A staggering and unprecedented data breach. Data usually only available to authorities; now hackers got it www.404media.co/hackers-stea...

Hackers Steal Text and Call Records of ‘Nearly All’ AT&T Customerswww.404media.co In one of the most significant data breaches in recent history, hackers stole AT&T customers’ call and text metadata spanning several months.

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Kelly Hereid

We should remember how good Wally Broecker was using just simple tools. More than four decades ago, in 1982, Wally predicted that atmospheric CO₂ in 2025 would be 419.5 ppm. Measured global average atmospheric CO₂ was 419.3 ppm in 2023. 👀

On today's theme: How do we fund infrastructure? Might it cause problems in a climate-changed world? "It is sensible to encourage increased development for as long as possible. With any luck at all, they must be thinking, they’ll be out of office before the city bankruptcies begin." #RMBFriday

This post is so good. So good in fact that I'm going to do a thread, even though as discussed with @waiterich.bsky.social yesterday, threads kind of suck here. So: why communities are in a real pickle on any climate adaptation that involves moving. Tl;Dr The financial incentives suck. 🧵 1/

There's no algorithm here! So in the grand tradition of Follow Friday, I am going to institute Reskeet My Bangers Friday, to unearth old threads that feel relevant again. For ideas, there's always the My Bangers feed, although sometimes bangers aren't bangers the first time around. #RMBFriday

My Bangers

Feed by @jaz.bsky.social