Please note the wildly incorrect polling in France. No matter what the cacophony of pundits keep saying, polls are not predictive, and are never the end of the story. Organizing, volunteering, engaging in conversation, and direct action are effective tools. Let's use them here too.
BREAKING NEWS: Voters turned out in numbers not seen in decades to stop the far-right National Rally from taking power in the French National Assembly. Polls predicted a first-place finish for National Rally, which instead came in third in initial results as polling stations closed.
the Munsters could start acting and dressing normal and people wouldn't notice they're draculas or franklinsteins or whatever. whereas with the Addams family, one of them is a hand
Yeah, you can do all the math if so inclined. The other thing you can do is see how the phone polls match the actual primary voting results (they don't)
In apropo of a thread with iirc @proptermalone.bsky.social about the crosstabs in low-response-rate phone polls, here's a semi-quantitative analysis of why I'm a little dubious about poll results with a >1% response rate.
It comes down to Bayes' theorem
P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A) / P(B)
The article on amazingribs where they go into detail on how they figured out it is evaporative cooling is my favorite science article on a meat website
I don't have anything intelligent to say about Canada-Venezuela, I guess everyone is trying hard and getting some exercise? This barely looks like the same sport as the Euro games earlier
Lone Star Steakhouse & Saloon (1989-2019): A chain of casual dining steakhouses with a western "roadhouse" aesthetic. At it's peak, there were 267 locations, including in Australia. Currently, one independently operating location exists in Guam.
in review:
1) Balogun was disciplined, but when Pepi came in the press fell apart and it became "run after the ball like chickens with your heads cut off." Surprised Aaronson didn't come in.
2) team did well in transition moments. Adams, Pulisic, Reyna in particular.
3) not great on O! D was good.
I'm going out with friends tonight to watch the game, but here is my #BasicBitchSoccerCoach tips for the USMNT:
1) the press. Has it been rehearsed? Who is the 9 covering? What next?
2) transition moments. We will fuck up. Do we recover?
3) set pieces. Quality service and finishing. Solid D.
I'm going out with friends tonight to watch the game, but here is my #BasicBitchSoccerCoach tips for the USMNT:
1) the press. Has it been rehearsed? Who is the 9 covering? What next?
2) transition moments. We will fuck up. Do we recover?
3) set pieces. Quality service and finishing. Solid D.
Fox really blew it by putting Mexico v Ecuador on the main network: it's boring. The only interesting thing is that one of the Mexican players is wearing a nasal strip like it's 2002.
Copa America situation 77': Argentina winning 1-0 but letting Peru hang around. Canada playing 11v10 but Chile and the ref very dedicated to chaos. Canada FINALLY puts on my boy Tajon Buchanan, let's goooo!
I watched the Uruguay-Bolivia soccer game instead of the debate because I love the Uruguay manager and how he runs his teams. Also, the USMNT plays Uruguay next and I was looking for a loophole/weakness. Sadly, I do not think it will go well on Monday.
Still a few days until the #USMNT plays #URU but I cannot for the life of me see the US winning. Let me count the ways:
1) Bielsa will press the US everywhere, even on the sidelines. The US really relies on buildup via their outside backs, and that works great in CONCACAF but not here. (1/🧵)
Who I really feel for is the recent grads about to sit the Bar Exam. It was already useless gatekeeping, but now they’re being tested on things that aren’t even the law anymore.
einstein sent this to curie in 1911 when she was being harassed by tabloids. it contains everything you’d want in such a letter:
(1) your haters are trash
(2) you’re a baller, a true queen
(3) i have determined the statistical law of motion of the diatomic molecule in planck’s radiation field 🧪⚛️
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