Joel Wertheimer

@wertwhile.bsky.social

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Civil rights attorney. COYS.

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Joel Wertheimer

MoM ann. % changes for revised and unrevised series. Not much to note other than I think a slightly stronger case now for sustained downward momentum in Supercore, itself driven almost entirely by rent. cc @wertwhile.bsky.social

No real change to core CPI before/after CPI seasonal revisions released this morning. June/July prints tweaked up but more recent data basically the exact same.

I thought this was persuasive from Sam Issacharoff that it is a reasonable argument and these questions are a lot tougher than people give them credit for www.justsecurity.org/91009/old-co...

If I had to guess, I would say that the easiest out for the Supreme Court is that Section 3 is not self-executing and Congress has to consciously bar people. That way it’s not their problem.

The New York Times readership is made up of people who went to Ivies, wish they went to Ivies, and who still talk about their SAT scores. They published all these articles because they do absurd traffic!

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The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and Inflation Reduction Act are huge climate policies, and the evidence is pouring in that they are good.

2023 retrospective: The United States started building big again this year, thanks to Biden's #InflationReductionAct - @jackconness.bsky.social tallies 142 clean energy projects totaling $100 billion investment + 80,000 jobs...mostly in Red + Purple states www.forbes.com/sites/energy...

In 2023, The United States Started Building Big Again, Thanks To Biden’s Inflation Reduction Actwww.forbes.com The IRA generated nearly $100 billion in new investment and over 80,000 jobs – in Red and Blue states – in 2023

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My slides for a presentation on the evolution of the inflation debate since 2021, and the case for 2023's disinflation being supply-side driven, that I gave at IEA this past week. Some fun stuff for both newbies and veterans of the past three years. www.mikekonczal.com/IEA_presenta...

Mike Konczal – IEA Presentationwww.mikekonczal.com

The future for cancer treatment is amazing.

Holy shit, this skin cancer vaccine news is amazing www.cnbc.com/2023/12/14/m...

Moderna, Merck vaccine with Keytruda cuts risk of deadly skin cancer returning in half, data sayswww.cnbc.com Those results build on midstage trial data Moderna and Merck released earlier this year, which examined the efficacy of the combination over a shorter period.

The best Fed Chair ever.

I mean this genuinely, I wish the White House had picked her up on Air Force One and flown her to another state. Maybe Biden would have been impeached for it.

How is what Ken Paxton has done to to Kate Cox not a top, if not the top story in our country right now?

The economist way of putting the things described in this piece I think would be: official statistics are doing a poor job of hedonic adjustment in the service sector, which have seen declining quality for a number of reasons.

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Joel Wertheimer

Same thing but I've z-scored Demand-Driven Core PCE to Core PCE so it's as if all variation in core PCE is caused by demand side shifts.

I wrote this 2.5 years ago, after the election and before J6 and I think it holds up pretty well. Judicial Realism is Overrated. I count myself as somebody who was less… | by Joel Wertheimer | Medium

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"In short, the Intercept article is at best horseshit. Klippenstein and Fang make big claims that they don’t deliver on."

Disinformation and the Interceptcrookedtimber.org There’s a backstory behind this Washington Post story on Republican persecution of academics, and it’s one that doesn’t make the Intercept look good. Jordan’s colleagues and staff…

Start here. Ohio is trying to increase the threshold to 60% for ballot initiatives in august. Then we’ll have the next fight that they’re afraid we’re going to win if they threshold is 50%. https://votenoinaugust.org/

Anyone have any leads on how to help with say the Ohio abortion referendum? I need to take some action

Vote No In August: One Person One Votevotenoinaugust.org The Vote No in August campaign is a citizen-driven, grassroots, non-partisan coalition representing millions of Ohio voters that has come together to protect the sacred principle of one person one vote, and preserve majority rule in Ohio.

Finally tally 149 GOP, 165 Dems.

Despite myself I think it’s just fine and permitting reform and COVID funds gets it over the line with like 150 gop and 150 Dem votes and 70 senators.

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Coming up with a plan to save the planet by taking pictures of rainbow oil slicks and telling people fossil fuels have gone woke

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Wish more media companies thought like this. “This is our little business—we just need to have these margins, pay our employees, and that’s it." https://www.cjr.org/analysis/defector-last-good-website.php

This was a bit optimistic but not that far seemingly!

Despite myself I think it’s just fine and permitting reform and COVID funds gets it over the line with like 150 gop and 150 Dem votes and 70 senators.

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If Adam Tooze was a Tottenham fan

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Our client is being shamed and humiliated for explicitly discriminatory reasons, and her family is being denied a once-in-a-lifetime milestone in their daughter's life. Very disappointing outcome.

BREAKING: A Mississippi school district can forbid a 17-year-old transgender girl from attending her graduation unless she wears male-designated attire instead of a dress under her robe, a Trump-appointed federal judge ruled tonight. Her graduation is at 6 p.m. Saturday.

School Can Force Trans Girl to Dress As Boy At Graduation, Judge Ruleswww.mississippifreepress.org The family of a 17-year-old transgender Harrison Central High School senior is suing after officials told her she must dress as a boy at graduation.

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watching the media adjust the way it describes abortion bans has been extremely discouraging. A 12 week ban would never have been described as ‘moderate’ a year ago. Dobbs itself was fought over the harm a 15 week ban would present for low-income patients in particular

A complete ass kicking so far. City definitely going to lose.

Well the referee is certainly letting them play

Really nice to see George's housing charts again!

Housing data! Multifamily permits collapsing likely due to expectations of forthcoming supply + slowing rents w/ a side of credit tightening. Single family bouncing. Also check out implied completion times...supply chains normalizing fast.

Hate to admit it, but truth>skeet as a verb for posting.

The silent democratic majority.

JUST NOW: Dems HAVE flipped the mayor's office in Jacksonville, Florida. This was the most populous city with a GOP mayor anywhere in the country. No more. Donna Deegan, who faced attack ads for… simply attending a BLM rally, will be the next mayor.

If I were a Tesla stock owner I’d sure be concerned my CEO has lost his fucking mind.

Love sky blue as a uniform color but Sunderland should not be wearing them in a match like this.

Yes but honestly it may end up more exciting

If I was the Championship I would simply not schedule the promotion playoffs on the same day as the Champions League semifinals.

There's a deal to be had without work requirements stuff in there. There's the coin if they don't give it up.

Still no real negotiation going on tbh. This is just not a realistic bargaining position. *MCCARTHY SAYS WORK REQUIREMENTS A RED LINE ON DEBT TALKS