Sarah Posner

@sarahposner.bsky.social

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Newsletter: The Looking Glass
https://the-looking-glass-1.ghost.io

Author, Unholy. https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/605774/unholy-by-sarah-posner/

MSNBC columnist. TPM contributor. Moment columnist.

More: https://www.sarahposner.com

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Sarah Posner

This could turn into a BFD Also: Republicans in disarray (over abortion) www.politico.com/news/2024/07...

Trump campaign blocks pair of anti-abortion activists from RNC platform committeewww.politico.com The shakeup, which has not been previously reported, comes as anti-abortion groups petition Trump, his campaign advisers and members of the RNC not to make significant changes to the party’s platform ...

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Sarah Posner

The answer to political anxiety is political organizing.

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Sarah Posner

If only our news media institutions found "ex-president promises to jail and try opponents for treason if he takes back power" as newsworthy as "unnamed aide said current president gets tired after having a full day of work."

Presidential candidate who the far-right members of the Supreme Court just placed above the law tells voters how he will exercise his new powers.

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

Either the Democrats will run Biden, or he'll say he can't continue the campaign and Democrats will run Harris. Either is newsworthy, but neither is nearly as radical as running a pro-insurrection convicted felon with legal immunity he's eager to use.

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

Please read this thread

1/ I'm agnostic as to whether Biden should withdraw from the race. It's a genuinely tough question IMO. But I have clarity on one thing: He should absolutely not step down as president. If Harris becomes President, the Vice Presidency is empty. Under the 25th Amendment ...

*if R nominee doesn't ... (sorry for the typo)

Obviously the "evangelicals will stay home of R nominee doesn't do X" is the oldest Christian right play in the book. Plus, the base is *actually* enthusiastic about Trump, with or without the platform. Still, though, purging allies from the platform committee is ... quite a thing.

Where is more breathless coverage of Trump's most important base being pissed about being shut out of platform drafting/questioning his commitment to their cause?

This could turn into a BFD Also: Republicans in disarray (over abortion) www.politico.com/news/2024/07...

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

Correct. It may or may not be wise for Biden to withdraw. But for the record, hypothetical match-ups are not good evidence of how well different candidates will actually perform. Popularity can change a lot in either direction when someone becomes a candidate for president.

Case in point: the long timeline of Hillary Clinton's approval polling. Favorability dropped when she became a candidate for senate, rebounded when she was SecState and not a candidate, dropped when she ran for President. news.gallup.com/poll/224330/...

Hillary Clinton Favorable Rating at New Lownews.gallup.com Hillary Clinton's favorable rating has dipped to 36%, the lowest Gallup has measured for her. Bill Clinton's favorable rating is now his lowest since 2001.

This could turn into a BFD Also: Republicans in disarray (over abortion) www.politico.com/news/2024/07...

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Sarah Posner

Historians try not to invoke LBJ, whose decision to step down led to catastrophe, or Lincoln, whose choice of unifying veep was even worse, challenge

is it 5 o'clock somewhere

Please read this thread

Trump is capitalizing on this moment, with help from the press Check out my newsletter--> the-looking-glass-1.ghost.io/beware-trump...

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Sarah Posner

No, States Would Not Be Forced to Keep Biden on the Ballot If He’s Not the Democratic Party’s Nominee from the DNC electionlawblog.org?p=144245

No, States Would Not Be Forced to Keep Biden on the Ballot If He's Not the Democratic Party's Nominee from the DNC #ELBelectionlawblog.org I have been seeing stories like this and this citing to a Heritage memo saying that in some states it would be hard for Democrats to list someone other than Biden on the ballot if Democrats nominate s...

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Sarah Posner

Reply to

Coolbone Minoxidil

there are lots of good summary materials, like this one looking specifically at climate implications: blog.ucsusa.org/rachel-cleet... they talk, for instance, about the importance of completely discontinuing “alarmist” climate research

‘Project 2025’ Would Be Disastrous for Our Nation and Our Climateblog.ucsusa.org The plan is a threat that should be taken seriously.

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Sarah Posner

If only a Founder made this exact point, in the Federalist Papers, to explain separation of powers. Oh wait that's exactly what Madison wrote. "It may be a reflection on human nature, that such devices should be necessary to control the abuses of government." constitutioncenter.org/the-constitu...

idk it just seems to me that laws, like tech, should be created with the question "what would the worst person i know be able to do with this power" in mind and it's truly incredible how much this opinion fails at that basic task

Beware Trump Capitalizing on This Perilous Moment the-looking-glass-1.ghost.io/beware-trump...

Beware Trump Capitalizing on This Perilous Momentthe-looking-glass-1.ghost.io The timing of the Supreme Court's immunity decision is a lavish gift to a dictator, but the press is focused on Biden's weaknesses.

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

Honestly still in shock that the most crooked American President in history said "I need immunity" and the GOP Supreme Court said "well, it's nowhere in the constitution, but sure, why not? Whats the worst that could happen?"

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Sarah Posner

That is an open threat. Terrorism as politics.

sure it’s heritage being heritage, but their continued escalation of the violent rhetoric and threats is not to be taken lightly. especially not after j6

"boldly to the right" "nature of politics"

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Sarah Posner

Reply to

Sarah Posner

“NOTUS, headed up by the former publisher of Politico.” Ah ok, now their shit makes *way* more sense to me. Glad to know I can safely ignore this new publication.

"President Biden’s cosseted bubble" www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Analysis | In private, Democrats panic. For the Biden campaign, everything is fine.www.washingtonpost.com The White House and campaign has chosen to emphasize happy talk even as some in the party fears he is on path to lose to Trump after his shaky debate performance.

See how this works? You can just get "dementia patient" and "chaos" in a news story, which is great for your side regardless of what the Dems do--you get to cement those two concepts in the readers' minds. Congratulations everyone.

All I can say is the "panicking" Dems better be fucking ready to coalesce around Harris and fast, because if this shit is going to happen, it can't keep dragging out with the political reporters feasting on emojis and juicy quotes

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

The reactionary centrism of the NYT is all in on helping to usher in fascism, which they will continue to frame through anodyne euphemisms

Like this shit isn’t what we “need to hear.” It’s doing a he said she said on the abetting of open fascism and the weaponization of our government by a criminal while saying those fears are just claims that liberals made.

Reposted by

Sarah Posner

I'm going back to bed because i can't turn today off and then on again

I thought “RFK ate a dog” was metaphorical, but I was startled to find out today that RFK really *did* eat a dog and took comedy photos with the corpse

Just try to imagine how much they'd celebrate their "second American Revolution" if Trump has a second term Then vote www.mediamatters.org/project-2025...

Heritage Foundation president celebrates Supreme Court immunity decision: "We are in the process of the second American Revolution"www.mediamatters.org

If Biden does step aside, I hope that all the complainers that they are not "excited" about the race will now be "excited"

“Trump v. United States is one of the most, if not the most, authoritarian court opinions I have ever read in U.S. law" talkingpointsmemo.com/news/supreme...

The Supreme Court Term That Fundamentally Changed Americatalkingpointsmemo.com As the dust settles from Trump v. United States, those paying attention...

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Sarah Posner

Reply to

Hunter Walker

There will be procedural and electoral issues to keep in mind if Biden moves on. I continue to think the only realistic option is Kamala. Any running mate for her would need to be from a safe seat. For that reason, people trying to game this out are much more focused on governors than Congress.