This poll is *wild*
Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+.
A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.
Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.
so a 30-point swing by gender? that's insane, and like everything in Trump-era politics I'm wondering if it's a Trump effect or a broader (likely Dobbs-based) one.
I wonder about the long-term effects of that trend. I had assumed it ~mostly washed out on a personal level because of geographic sorting, but a 30-point swing is nuts. Especially with the parties also being very polarized.
just to start with, how is that stable? in my head, you get race-related or urban-rural polarization because the communities are (or can be) isolated from one another, but that doesn't work with men and women. is the future the US turning into South Korea?
