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George Pearkes @peark.es · 13 days
This poll is *wild* Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+. A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.
Avatar Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 13 days
latest fox news national poll is the best Fox News for Biden since October www.foxnews.com/official-pol...
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 13 days
Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.
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lowtax speedrun enjoyer @rickywlmsbong.bsky.social · 13 days
i mean put me down for doubt on him winning 40% of whites period, let alone rural ones
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post malone ergo propter malone @proptermalone.bsky.social · 13 days
lots of other polling has Biden strong with whites
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lowtax speedrun enjoyer @rickywlmsbong.bsky.social · 13 days
sure but when was the last time a dem won 40% of rural whites? clinton? maybe carter? i don’t think we’ve won 40% of all whites since 08
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Charm City Slicker (54-31) @sprawlhater.bsky.social · 13 days
Fwiw, Pew's analysis of validated voters says Biden won 43% of non-Hispanic Whites in 2020
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Charm City Slicker (54-31) @sprawlhater.bsky.social · 13 days
Behind Biden’s 2020 Victorywww.pewresearch.org A new analysis of 2020 validated voters examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Joe Biden’s victory. It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in eith...