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either everything we have ever learned about presidential campaigns is wrong and trump is headed to victory, or he isn’t
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The Nates have rated the above statement as a fifty/fifty shot
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lol. i mean, i’m no fuckin’ nostradamus, but, like, same as it was in march, same as it was in january, same as it was all through 2023, trump’s campaign fundamentals look bad, bad, bad, and either those are gonna matter, or nothing does
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Because I'm busy trying to manage The Fear*, what fundamentals are you thinking of? *which yes, I know is best solved through work, I do Tech For Campaigns regularly.
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they outsourced outreach and mobilization to charlie kirk, RNC has very few field offices in any state, their ad buys are both anemic and late, state parties are in complete disorder, trump’s rallies are way below attendance from even 2020 and the RNC purged the few experienced pros they had
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it's not even clear the campaign has a lead lawyer, which is something you *need*
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the last non-loyalist out the door at the RNC was their experienced SME for election law
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I also think the RNC is going to be a televised shit show with a lot of outright racism and that will turn off a lot of people.
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do you mean to tell me that lara trump may not have the best instincts for putting on a party convention
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She's a savvy and seasoned operative!
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I know this is a little thing, but has anyone seen or heard from Melania? I strongly doubt she's going anywhere with him.
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That and every hanger-oner is going to try and out red-meat the next one to get the MTG/Bobert coverage. And it’s going to look like a televised Boar On The Floor.
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I believe John Roberts has indicated he will accept this position
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Sam Alito has the opportunity to do the unfunniest thing ever.