This poll is *wild*
Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+.
A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.
Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.
so a 30-point swing by gender? that's insane, and like everything in Trump-era politics I'm wondering if it's a Trump effect or a broader (likely Dobbs-based) one.
Both. White women get singled out for 2016, but even among white voters it’s +15 white men for trump, and white women were pretty much 51% republican since 2000.
So Dobbs and how completely awful trump is swung it further.