An underrated possible future is that in a few months time Donald Trump loses the election and then spends the rest of his life in court and in jail for his many crimes. Like, this could definitely be how things go
I’m manifesting that he trips on the carpet at the moment that he’s accepting the GOP nomination, falls, catches his chin on the lip of the lectern, and snaps his neck live on TV.
At this point I feel like "Republicans collapse for a while, centrist Dems become the new major right-wing party, the more left side eventually splits off" is about the ideal outcome
I'd modify it to, "Republicans collapse, hard right republicans flee to fringe parties and even domestic terror elements, moderate repubs join Dems, progressive Dems break away to form new left" is how it'll play out.
That realignment period could be a time of strength for the secular right.
IMO, it all depends on how things shake out after Trump's gone/dies. Maybe it'll stay strong, but I think his cult will collapse some with him.
Dems, for all their many flaws and bad polling (I'm a bit skeptic), aren't as subject to that dynamic and might even do better with Biden gone.
Him losing the election, going to prison, and then dying there a year later would be the absolute optimal outcome in my opinion.
All the catharsis of the judgment and we get to cut short the endless ploys from Republicans to get him free or have him run for something from behind bars.
Any of the criminal cases just kinda automatically stop, which isn't great cuz if they're in appeal they're likely just dismissed, which gives the dipshits a window to pretend he was "exonerated"
But anything against his estate or the Trump Org will haunt Melania and the kids f o r e v e r
That’s assuming the Russians want him
Either way I could enjoy the thought of him ending his days as an increasingly impoverished and irrelevant expat where he’s dependent on people who don’t speak English and don’t like him
I imagine he will immediately declare he is running for president in 2028 so he can continue to claim all prosecution is political.
I'd really like to know at what point the true believers decide to abandon ship, and how quickly after that point they pretend they were never his acolytes.
I mean he has zero reasons not to just run again in 2028 even from jail. He’ll always have a sizable enough portion of GOP dead enders and the credible threat of burning down the party/running 3rd party.
I gather from the actuarial charts that we would have about a 19% chance of something getting in the way of that run, and that might be higher if he's humiliated and - worse - not on television.
I hope he does. It might finally split the GOP into GOP and MAGA Party, giving Dems the chance to win enough seats to pass constitutional amendments and fix the courts.
I think more likely just the former - ie, he never actually goes to jail but spends the rest of his life being massively inconvenienced by legal battles. Which I suppose could be thought of as a kind of de facto sentence.
Really hope he’s in prison, in the nursing home section for the mentally disturbed where he can visit his new imaginary friend, Hannibal Lecter, who he seems to keep talking to as of late?!?🤪🤪🤪