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George Pearkes @peark.es · 13 days
This poll is *wild* Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+. A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.
Avatar Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 13 days
latest fox news national poll is the best Fox News for Biden since October www.foxnews.com/official-pol...
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 13 days
Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.
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lowtax speedrun enjoyer @rickywlmsbong.bsky.social · 13 days
i mean put me down for doubt on him winning 40% of whites period, let alone rural ones
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 13 days
Same! Also no way he wins 65+ by double digits.
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lowtax speedrun enjoyer @rickywlmsbong.bsky.social · 13 days
yeah if he does both of those things i will be in bed by my normal time and i will eat my hat for breakfast and post the video
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Huh… @capitalistfool.bsky.social · 13 days
Actually, I think this is plausible. Old folks are keener judges of mental versus physical decline. Biden could do very well with seniors.
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buster skeetin @raymanwithaplan.bsky.social · 13 days
He does if enough of the 61+ Trump voters died of COVID in the last 4 years
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Lazear @lazear.bsky.social · 13 days
Only reason I could see him winning over maybe 5% (which is where I think he probably sits) is a combo of the "biden old and senile attacks" turning 65 and up off trump, and seeing roe get overturned finally getting them to realize that yes the GOP wants to kill Social Secuirty and Medicare.