So, a couple of weeks after the debate, and the polls have steadied at Trump +2ish, with some brownian motion, so we now know, pretty incontrovertibly, that it was just a two point debate bounce. That's what presaged this entire weeks long replace the candidate furor. Two points.
And polling is insightful in other ways for the campaign. The executive action on rent caps (ineffective as it might be) is calibrated to polling feedback.
I'm on break, and this has been stewing a minute
I want to bring up an uncomfortable memory for people panicking about polls.
Hillary Clinton, data quality, the inherent trouble with political polling.
Okay fuck it I’m gonna say some shit.
Biden isn’t leaving the race. I’d rather he did. I think Kamala is more likely to win.
But he ain’t leaving because the-polls-look-bad. He’s obviously going to insist that he can campaign his way out of bad polling.
AND HE MIGHT BE RIGHT. (He better be!)
"but the polls" "but nobody has ever won with" blah blah blah, there's time, and nobody in modern history has ever had to run against such a deranged view of what America will become. It's winnable. Pack up the pity party; off to work we go.
Remember, if the government can obtain a conviction against Bob Menendez for taking bribes and stuffing gold bars into his closet that he was given for working on behalf of a foreign government, there's nothing stopping them from indicting you for the same thing.
It's a GREAT time to remind all y'all that you can read "What You Are Getting Wrong about Appalachia" by Elizabeth Catte, instead of that crappy dude's crappy memoir.
I get that he’s taken it all back, including when he said he feared Trump would be America’s Hitler, but I guess my position is… I have never gone to work for someone I’ve ever in any point in my life compared directly to Adolf Hitler… and it’s a fair question…
www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
The meekest immigrant doing the most humbling manual labor is just trying to improve his life and support his family. It’s the same reason Vance degrades himself before a man he knows is a fraud, and who seems to enjoy humiliating him.
The difference is that there’s honor in manual labor.
This.
I thoroughly despise the party on a national level, but working from within that framework (and fixing it as we go) is far more likely to succeed than any attempts to start from scratch.
Not much useful can be said in the aftermath of a lawless attack on a controversial political figure that wasn't already said by Robert F. Kennedy in April 1968. Here are some excerpts (separated by ellipses) that seem particularly relevant.
