Are french poll predictions better than ours b/c i sure would not be celebrating a victory until the votes were actually counted and the alliance made.
An article in the peer-reviewed medical journal The Lancet, using the conservative estimate of 4 indirect deaths in Gaza for every one direct death (in other conflicts it’s been 3-15x), calculates that Israel has killed approximately 186,000 Palestinians. That is 8% of the population of Gaza.
the french can definitely still fuck this, let's not celebrate too early, the left coalition is wobbly and macron is utterly incensed that he doesn't have a solid hold on power and loathes the left with a passion
THIS CAN STILL GET FUCKED
a failson, an Iraq war monger, a Syrian airstrikes enjoyer, and an Israeli ceasefire abstainer walk into the job of Secretary of State for Northern Ireland with a fond reverence for the Good Friday Agreement
What's happening RIGHT NOW on TV: something very familiar in countries with a full parliamentary regime — fight over coalitions.
Macronists + center-right arguing this isn't a Left win; suggesting a center-left to center-right unity gov.
Left insisting this is a Left win. How united will it be?
The 2nd leading pollster projects a similar result—if anything a higher range for the Left coalition.
This wld be a much stronger result than expected for the Macron bloc.
If confirmed, key takeaway: Left & Macronist voters transferred onto each other much more than expected. Clear anti-RN front.
JUST IN: Polls closed in France. Exit polls show surprise:
—Left coalition (New Popular Front) projected first. (!)
—Far-right (RN) has lost its bid to take power. Anti-RN front appears to have worked very well.
—No bloc close to majority.
Follow this 🧵 for results and more:
Your infrequent reminder that the moment outside orgs and journalists are able to access Gaza and reveal the true death toll will be the moment liberals who "doubted" Gazan ministry of health numbers will switch to "dwelling on the death toll isn't helping anyone, we need to move forward."
I was a very lonely + isolated child then teenager, no doubt cos of my undiagnosed autism. When I think about these things alongside IRC, really made me feel able connect with people in a way I didn't know how in real life. Really kept me going, not sure if I would be here still today without them.
The Timpson guy is meant to be a genuinely good + decent guy. I think it's a mistake he's getting involved with Starmer's government, and can't help but feel they are using him just like they used Doreen Lawrence.
He was either the most actively worst DPP everrrr given the number of awful + unjust decisions or he was the laziest DPP ever who supposedly didn't have a clue about the decisions being made under his watch. Only one can be true.
It's funny hearing Starmer's DPP record lauded as evidence he's super competent. The people who worked for and with him always describe his greatest achievement as computerising the CPS's database. It was like 2008 lol.
For the time it takes to create a human life the world has stood by unable to stop the bombing of hospitals, refugee camps, family homes, tent cities in so-called “safe zones.” Kids losing their legs before they can walk, babies conceived, born and killed under genocidal bombardment… So much death.
Middle class problem: Waitrose keep discontinuing unique products that they only sell that we regularly buy. I don't get it, some of these things were very popular and used to go out if stock often...
Middle class problem: Waitrose keep discontinuing unique products that they only sell that we regularly buy. I don't get it, some of these things were very popular and used to go out if stock often...