What's really disturbing about the debate fiasco is there's no way to be confident that Biden has it in him to pull off the near-flawless execution he'll need to win at this point.
At a minimum, the Bidens owe us a real conversation about that.
My take:
newrepublic.com/article/1832...
it's an extraordinary claim. Biden is solidly within MoE of a win *right now in the polls* and there are good reasons to think that the snapshot polls are structurally underestimating Biden relative to where he'd be if we were voting.
it's also just totally unnecessary for the argument he wants to make, which is that Biden isn't up for the task ahead of him. you don't need to fabricate difficulty for the task ahead of him to make that argument.
Yup. If the country is so precarious that a single off night for a presidential debate (come on) pushes us into permanent tyranny, then we were already on the wrong side of the knife’s edge. We can’t proceed for decades with any one wrong move spelling doom.
This is all so very stupid, and underscored by how the Supreme Court has already overtaken most headlines in, what? 15 hours? (8 of which most people were asleep)
I tend to think that this, btw, is 80% of an entire winning message.
Say Trump is a felon. Don’t need to say for what. Repeat until November, and also message about how the felon took away abortion rights.
Biden vs. the felon who took away women’s rights, who ya got, etc etc
i genuinely think a dog with biden’s war chest could beat trump and not a particularly kind dog either. i really don’t get where the idea comes from that he’s some unassailable opponent that only a perfect campaign can defeat
I also don't get where the idea comes from that Biden should step aside and therefore deprive the Democrats of incumbency advantage, which is one of the major things he has going for him
The latest salvo from the Trump campaign that “they would prefer to face Biden over any other lib” sounds too coordinated and false. They would absolutely love the lib chaos of naming someone else
I think it's close because the 2020 election was kinda close-ish, and this is a rematch. Plus people really don't like inflation, as shown by the troubles of incumbent parties worldwide.
And national totals were close in 2022.... but that's surprisingly better than expected for Dems. And if you still trust polls at all, the national ones are close.
We had one! It was the Access Hollywood tape. But it was up to the GOP to decide that it stuck, and they went the other way. So there’s no such thing as a knockout. Just convictions & losses in courts & at the ballot. (Chanting, ritualistically) Fuck Mike Pence. Could dropped support. But: coward.
Anytime someone says "We need a real conversation about X" what it means is "We've been talking about X for a long long time, but now we want everyone to repeat to us exactly what we've been saying.
*Trump* needs near-flawless execution to win with a massive cash disadvantage, a terrible platform, and probably running from prison.
Biden just needs to stay alive.
The notion that 'Biden owes us an honest conversation' sure is a weird way to talk about someone who's spent over 50 years trying to make the country a better place and over that time has often reconsidered and improved his positions to reflect what he's learned from listening to people.
"The debate was Trump's best chance to break his ceiling and win over a majority of Americans. Polls show this is as out of reach today as in the past 8 years. Trump will need near-flawless performance to pull it off. For the GOP's sake he should step down and let Bobby Jindal face Biden"
NYT when?
